August 8, 2026
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld
10 bouts · 2 calls · Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Lightweight · 5 rounds
Mateusz Gamrot
36.4% Our sim
43.8% Book
Quillan Salkilld ▲ 2¢
62.0% Our sim
56.2% Book
Lines at 24 books
Book Gamrot Salkilld Gamrot true %
pinnacle+120 -140 43.8%
ballybet+116 -143 44.0%
betanysports+112 -142 44.6%
betclic fr+115 -156 43.3%
betfair ex eu+134 -141 42.2%
betmgm+125 -150 42.6%
betonlineag+115 -135 44.7%
betparx+116 -143 44.0%
betrivers+116 -143 44.0%
betsson+125 -149 42.6%
betus+118 -140 44.0%
bovada+122 -142 43.4%
coolbet+113 -133 45.1%
draftkings+120 -142 43.7%
fanduel+120 -148 43.2%
fliff+115 -150 43.7%
hardrockbet+115 -145 44.0%
marathonbet+113 -147 44.1%
matchbook+134 -141 42.2%
nordicbet+125 -149 42.6%
onexbet+116 -141 44.2%
pmu fr+116 -143 44.0%
unibet fr+110 -156 43.9%
winamax fr+105 -152 44.7%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
Lightweight · 3 rounds
Carlos Diego Ferreira
54.2% Our sim
61.5% Book
Billy Quarantillo
45.0% Our sim
38.5% Book
Lines at 24 books
Book Ferreira Quarantillo Ferreira true %
pinnacle-176 +150 61.5%
ballybet-180 +143 61.0%
betanysports-170 +140 60.2%
betclic fr-208 +148 62.6%
betfair ex eu-175 +158 62.1%
betonlineag-183 +160 62.7%
betparx-180 +143 61.0%
betrivers-180 +143 61.0%
betsson-167 +140 60.0%
betus-170 +142 60.4%
bovada-177 +153 61.8%
coolbet-179 +150 61.6%
draftkings-180 +150 61.6%
fanduel-180 +146 61.3%
fliff-185 +140 60.9%
hardrockbet-180 +145 61.2%
marathonbet-188 +143 61.3%
matchbook-172 +158 62.0%
nordicbet-167 +140 60.0%
onexbet-179 +144 61.0%
pmu fr-180 +143 61.0%
sport888-188 +150 62.0%
unibet fr-217 +150 63.1%
winamax fr-208 +140 61.8%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
TIER 2 Darren Elkins +28.2 pts
Featherweight · 3 rounds
◆ Darren Elkins ▲ 35¢
46.1% Our sim
13.8% Book
Yadier del Valle ▼ 109¢
52.3% Our sim
86.2% Book
Lines at 23 books
Book Elkins Valle Elkins true %
pinnacle+596 -850 13.8%
ballybet+550 -910 14.6%
betanysports+475 -840 16.3%
betclic fr+560 -1250 14.1%
betfair ex eu+580 -667 14.5%
betonlineag+571 -820 14.3%
betparx+550 -910 14.6%
betrivers+550 -910 14.6%
betsson+600 -909 13.7%
betus+535 -820 15.0%
bovada+575 -850 14.2%
coolbet+575 -825 14.2%
draftkings+575 -850 14.2%
fanduel+490 -750 16.1%
fliff+555 -940 14.5%
hardrockbet+550 -900 14.6%
matchbook+620 -667 13.8%
nordicbet+600 -909 13.7%
onexbet+560 -935 14.4%
pmu fr+550 -910 14.6%
sport888+570 -1000 14.1%
unibet fr+500 -1250 15.3%
winamax fr+480 -1000 15.9%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
TIER 2 Alexia Thainara +28.3 pts
Women's Strawweight · 3 rounds
Amanda Lemos ▲ 10¢
12.7% Our sim
30.2% Book
◆ Alexia Thainara ▼ 16¢
87.0% Our sim
69.8% Book
Lines at 24 books
Book Lemos Thainara Lemos true %
pinnacle+219 -263 30.2%
ballybet+210 -275 30.5%
betanysports+205 -265 31.1%
betclic fr+210 -312 29.9%
betfair ex eu+235 -244 29.6%
betmgm+200 -250 31.8%
betonlineag+215 -260 30.5%
betparx+210 -275 30.5%
betrivers+210 -275 30.5%
betsson+235 -286 28.7%
betus+214 -260 30.6%
bovada+215 -260 30.5%
coolbet+222 -270 29.9%
draftkings+215 -265 30.4%
fanduel+198 -250 32.0%
fliff+210 -275 30.5%
hardrockbet+210 -275 30.5%
marathonbet+204 -278 30.9%
matchbook+235 -244 29.6%
nordicbet+235 -286 28.7%
onexbet+214 -268 30.4%
pmu fr+210 -275 30.5%
unibet fr+205 -323 30.0%
winamax fr+195 -294 31.2%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
Welterweight · 3 rounds
Billy Ray Goff ▲ 20¢
39.9% Our sim
22.4% Book
Ty Miller low data ▼ 34¢
59.4% Our sim
77.6% Book
Lines at 23 books
Book Goff Miller Goff true %
pinnacle+330 -415 22.4%
ballybet+310 -420 23.2%
betanysports+265 -405 25.5%
betclic fr+300 -476 23.2%
betfair ex eu+340 -385 22.3%
betmgm+310 -425 23.2%
betonlineag+310 -389 23.5%
betparx+310 -420 23.2%
betrivers+310 -420 23.2%
betsson+315 -417 23.0%
betus+321 -420 22.7%
bovada+315 -400 23.1%
coolbet+290 -360 24.7%
draftkings+330 -425 22.3%
fanduel+310 -420 23.2%
fliff+310 -435 23.1%
hardrockbet+300 -425 23.6%
matchbook+350 -385 21.9%
nordicbet+315 -417 23.0%
onexbet+303 -400 23.7%
pmu fr+310 -420 23.2%
sport888+300 -400 23.8%
winamax fr+255 -500 25.3%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
Heavyweight · 3 rounds
Steven Asplund ▼ 14¢
63.3% Our sim
72.3% Book
Guilherme Pat ▲ 8¢
35.8% Our sim
27.7% Book
Lines at 20 books
Book Asplund Pat Asplund true %
pinnacle-295 +249 72.3%
ballybet-295 +230 71.1%
betanysports-300 +230 71.2%
betfair ex eu-278 +255 72.3%
betmgm-300 +240 71.8%
betonlineag-310 +252 72.7%
betparx-295 +230 71.1%
betrivers-295 +230 71.1%
betsson-294 +235 71.4%
betus-310 +254 72.8%
bovada-310 +255 72.9%
coolbet-300 +245 72.1%
draftkings-298 +240 71.8%
fanduel-300 +235 71.5%
fliff-310 +230 71.4%
hardrockbet-300 +230 71.2%
matchbook-270 +260 72.4%
nordicbet-294 +235 71.4%
onexbet-312 +226 71.2%
sport888-333 +240 72.3%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
Light Heavyweight · 3 rounds
Diyar Nurgozhay ▲ 1¢
49.9% Our sim
56.9% Book
Bruno Lopes ▼ 4¢
49.4% Our sim
43.1% Book
Lines at 19 books
Book Nurgozhay Lopes Nurgozhay true %
pinnacle-143 +124 56.9%
ballybet-155 +123 57.5%
betanysports-140 +110 55.1%
betfair ex eu-137 +128 56.9%
betmgm-155 +130 58.3%
betonlineag-155 +135 58.8%
betparx-155 +123 57.5%
betrivers-155 +123 57.5%
betsson-149 +125 57.4%
betus-145 +122 56.8%
bovada-147 +127 57.5%
coolbet-154 +130 58.2%
draftkings-148 +124 57.2%
fanduel-160 +130 58.6%
fliff-155 +120 57.2%
hardrockbet-155 +125 57.8%
matchbook-137 +130 57.1%
nordicbet-149 +125 57.4%
onexbet-159 +122 57.7%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
Lightweight · 3 rounds
Manoel Sousa low data ▼ 45¢
53.6% Our sim
72.4% Book
Richie Miranda low data ▲ 25¢
45.6% Our sim
27.6% Book
Lines at 20 books
Book Sousa Miranda Sousa true %
pinnacle-298 +251 72.4%
ballybet-315 +240 72.1%
betanysports-310 +240 72.0%
betfair ex eu-286 +240 71.6%
betmgm-300 +240 71.8%
betonlineag-320 +260 73.3%
betparx-315 +240 72.1%
betrivers-315 +240 72.1%
betsson-323 +260 73.3%
betus-298 +245 72.1%
bovada-300 +250 72.4%
coolbet-312 +254 72.8%
draftkings-310 +250 72.6%
fanduel-300 +235 71.5%
fliff-320 +240 72.1%
hardrockbet-325 +240 72.2%
matchbook-278 +245 71.7%
nordicbet-323 +260 73.3%
onexbet-312 +226 71.2%
sport888-333 +240 72.3%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
Featherweight · 3 rounds
Miles Johns ▼ 4¢
42.0% Our sim
45.2% Book
Jessie Rosas low data
56.6% Our sim
54.8% Book
Lines at 19 books
Book Johns Rosas Johns true %
pinnacle+113 -132 45.2%
ballybet-162 +130 58.7%
betanysports-160 +130 58.6%
betclic fr-169 +123 58.4%
betfair ex eu+114 -130 45.3%
betmgm-165 +135 59.4%
betonlineag-155 +135 58.8%
betparx-162 +130 58.7%
betrivers-162 +130 58.7%
betsson+135 -161 40.8%
betus-165 +138 59.7%
bovada+122 -142 43.4%
coolbet-152 +129 58.0%
draftkings-162 +136 59.3%
fanduel-170 +138 60.0%
hardrockbet-160 +130 58.6%
matchbook+114 -130 45.3%
nordicbet+135 -161 40.8%
onexbet+121 -157 42.6%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
Women's Flyweight · 3 rounds
Juliana Miller ▼ 5¢
66.6% Our sim
71.7% Book
Ravena Oliveira ▲ 4¢
32.3% Our sim
28.3% Book
Lines at 20 books
Book Miller Oliveira Miller true %
pinnacle-286 +242 71.7%
ballybet-305 +230 71.3%
betanysports-310 +240 72.0%
betfair ex eu-278 +260 72.6%
betmgm-325 +260 73.4%
betonlineag-305 +249 72.4%
betparx-305 +230 71.3%
betrivers-305 +230 71.3%
betsson-312 +250 72.6%
betus-305 +250 72.5%
bovada-310 +255 72.9%
coolbet-290 +237 71.5%
draftkings-298 +240 71.8%
fanduel-310 +240 72.0%
fliff-325 +240 72.2%
hardrockbet-300 +230 71.2%
matchbook-270 +260 72.4%
nordicbet-312 +250 72.6%
onexbet-339 +242 72.5%
sport888-333 +240 72.3%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
August 15, 2026
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
9 bouts · 3 calls · Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S.
Welterweight · 5 rounds · title
Islam Makhachev ▲ 10¢
57.3% Our sim
75.7% Book
Ian Machado Garry
41.5% Our sim
24.3% Book
Lines at 16 books
Book Makhachev Garry Makhachev true %
pinnacle-369 +297 75.7%
ballybet-360 +270 74.3%
betclic fr-455 +290 76.2%
betfair ex eu-312 +300 75.2%
betonlineag-380 +303 76.1%
betparx-360 +270 74.3%
betrivers-360 +270 74.3%
coolbet-333 +270 74.0%
draftkings-360 +285 75.1%
fanduel-390 +280 75.2%
fliff-390 +280 75.2%
hardrockbet-350 +260 73.7%
matchbook-312 +300 75.2%
onexbet-485 +356 79.1%
sport888-345 +260 73.6%
winamax fr-435 +265 74.8%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
Women's Strawweight · 5 rounds · title
Mackenzie Dern ▲ 1¢
51.4% Our sim
68.0% Book
Gillian Robertson
47.2% Our sim
32.0% Book
Lines at 16 books
Book Dern Robertson Dern true %
pinnacle-240 +201 68.0%
ballybet-240 +188 67.0%
betclic fr-256 +177 66.6%
betonlineag-225 +189 66.7%
betparx-240 +188 67.0%
betrivers-240 +188 67.0%
coolbet-227 +190 66.8%
draftkings-238 +195 67.5%
fanduel-265 +200 68.5%
fliff-245 +185 66.9%
hardrockbet-220 +170 65.0%
marathonbet-250 +186 67.1%
onexbet-228 +195 67.2%
sport888-250 +195 67.8%
unibet fr-270 +155 65.0%
winamax fr-278 +185 67.7%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
TIER 2 Dustin Stoltzfus +26.1 pts
Middleweight · 3 rounds
Mansur Abdul-Malik ▼ 75¢
52.5% Our sim
81.2% Book
◆ Dustin Stoltzfus ▲ 4¢
46.9% Our sim
18.8% Book
Lines at 14 books
Book Abdul-Malik Stoltzfus Abdul-Malik true %
pinnacle-538 +413 81.2%
ballybet-625 +420 81.8%
betclic fr-667 +385 80.8%
betonlineag-550 +415 81.3%
betparx-625 +420 81.8%
betrivers-625 +420 81.8%
betsson-667 +400 81.3%
coolbet-556 +415 81.4%
draftkings-550 +410 81.2%
fliff-600 +400 81.1%
hardrockbet-650 +425 82.0%
nordicbet-667 +400 81.3%
onexbet-463 +419 81.0%
winamax fr-714 +320 78.7%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
Lightweight · 3 rounds
Edson Barboza ▲ 6¢
34.6% Our sim
23.0% Book
Esteban Ribovics ▼ 25¢
64.9% Our sim
77.0% Book
Lines at 15 books
Book Barboza Ribovics Barboza true %
pinnacle+318 -397 23.0%
ballybet+325 -455 22.3%
betclic fr+300 -476 23.2%
betonlineag+316 -400 23.1%
betparx+325 -455 22.3%
betrivers+325 -455 22.3%
betsson+300 -455 23.4%
coolbet+315 -400 23.1%
draftkings+310 -395 23.4%
fliff+305 -430 23.3%
hardrockbet+325 -450 22.3%
nordicbet+300 -455 23.4%
onexbet+325 -350 23.2%
sport888+320 -450 22.5%
winamax fr+255 -500 25.3%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
TIER 2 Kauê Fernandes +27.1 pts
Lightweight · 3 rounds
Jalin Turner ▼ 20¢
39.8% Our sim
57.0% Book
◆ Kauê Fernandes ▲ 14¢
59.3% Our sim
43.0% Book
Lines at 11 books
Book Turner Fernandes Turner true %
pinnacle-145 +124 57.0%
ballybet-165 +132 59.1%
betonlineag-155 +135 58.8%
betparx-165 +132 59.1%
betrivers-165 +132 59.1%
betsson-154 +120 57.2%
coolbet-154 +130 58.2%
draftkings-148 +124 57.2%
hardrockbet-165 +130 58.9%
nordicbet-154 +120 57.2%
onexbet-163 +114 57.0%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
Middleweight · 3 rounds
Donte Johnson ▼ 6¢
66.3% Our sim
68.3% Book
Eric McConico ▼ 2¢
32.3% Our sim
31.7% Book
Lines at 12 books
Book Johnson McConico Johnson true %
pinnacle-244 +204 68.3%
ballybet-250 +195 67.8%
betonlineag-240 +200 67.9%
betparx-250 +195 67.8%
betrivers-250 +195 67.8%
betsson-250 +190 67.4%
coolbet-240 +200 67.9%
draftkings-245 +200 68.1%
fliff-250 +190 67.4%
hardrockbet-250 +195 67.8%
nordicbet-250 +190 67.4%
onexbet-205 +195 66.5%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
TIER 3 Vicente Luque +38.6 pts
Middleweight · 3 rounds
◆ Vicente Luque ▼ 9¢
68.0% Our sim
43.9% Book
Tresean Gore ▲ 5¢
31.3% Our sim
56.1% Book
Lines at 12 books
Book Luque Gore Luque true %
pinnacle+119 -140 43.9%
ballybet+112 -137 44.9%
betonlineag+110 -130 45.7%
betparx+112 -137 44.9%
betrivers+112 -137 44.9%
betsson+110 -143 44.7%
coolbet+110 -130 45.7%
draftkings+124 -148 42.8%
fliff+110 -145 44.6%
hardrockbet+110 -135 45.3%
nordicbet+110 -143 44.7%
onexbet+120 -124 45.1%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
Welterweight · 3 rounds
Neil Magny ▼ 2¢
42.8% Our sim
51.1% Book
Ramiz Brahimaj
56.4% Our sim
48.9% Book
Lines at 13 books
Book Magny Brahimaj Magny true %
pinnacle-113 -103 51.1%
ballybet-112 -112 50.0%
betonlineag-110 -110 50.0%
betparx-112 -112 50.0%
betrivers-112 -112 50.0%
betsson-114 -114 50.0%
coolbet-109 -109 50.0%
draftkings-115 -105 51.1%
fliff-115 -110 50.5%
hardrockbet-110 -110 50.0%
nordicbet-114 -114 50.0%
onexbet-104 -104 50.0%
sport888-110 -110 50.0%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
Welterweight · 3 rounds
Jeremiah Wells ▲ 2¢
31.0% Our sim
18.8% Book
Myktybek Orolbai ▼ 22¢
67.8% Our sim
81.2% Book
Lines at 12 books
Book Wells Orolbai Wells true %
pinnacle+411 -535 18.8%
ballybet+430 -625 18.0%
betonlineag+446 -600 17.6%
betparx+430 -625 18.0%
betrivers+430 -625 18.0%
betsson+425 -714 17.8%
coolbet+440 -588 17.8%
draftkings+410 -550 18.8%
fliff+415 -620 18.4%
hardrockbet+425 -650 18.0%
nordicbet+425 -714 17.8%
onexbet+447 -481 18.1%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed
August 29, 2026
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
1 bout · Shanghai, China
Bantamweight · 5 rounds
Umar Nurmagomedov
61.0% Our sim
78.5% Book
Song Yadong ▲ 3¢
38.1% Our sim
21.5% Book
Lines at 12 books
Book Nurmagomedov Yadong Nurmagomedov true %
ballybet-480 +335 78.3%
betclic fr-588 +345 79.2%
betonlineag-450 +350 78.6%
betparx-480 +335 78.3%
betrivers-480 +335 78.3%
betus-450 +339 78.2%
coolbet-450 +350 78.6%
draftkings-455 +350 78.7%
fanduel-520 +350 79.1%
hardrockbet-475 +325 77.8%
onexbet-529 +419 81.4%
winamax fr-500 +300 76.9%
median of 12 books, de-vigged · vig removed
September 12, 2026
UFC Fight Night : Rodriguez vs Silva
1 bout · 1 call · Glendale, Arizona, U.S.
TIER 2 Yair Rodriguez +31.7 pts
Featherweight · 5 rounds
◆ Yair Rodriguez ▲ 56¢
53.4% Our sim
25.2% Book
Jean Silva ▼ 70¢
46.0% Our sim
74.8% Book
Lines at 9 books
Book Rodriguez Silva Rodriguez true %
ballybet+275 -375 25.2%
betclic fr+230 -357 27.9%
betonlineag+280 -350 25.3%
betparx+275 -375 25.2%
betrivers+275 -375 25.2%
draftkings+280 -355 25.2%
hardrockbet+275 -375 25.2%
onexbet+264 -276 27.2%
winamax fr+230 -435 27.2%
median of 9 books, de-vigged · vig removed
September 19, 2026
UFC 331
1 bout · Los Angeles, California, U.S.
UFC Flyweight Championship · 5 rounds · title
Joshua Van ▼ 232¢
53.5% Our sim
51.7% Book
Alexandre Pantoja ▲ 29¢
45.6% Our sim
48.3% Book
Lines at 9 books
Book Van Pantoja Van true %
ballybet-121 -103 51.9%
betclic fr-118 -118 50.0%
betonlineag-120 +100 52.2%
betparx-121 -103 51.9%
betrivers-121 -103 51.9%
draftkings-118 -102 51.7%
hardrockbet+105 -130 46.3%
onexbet-104 -104 50.0%
winamax fr-135 -119 51.4%
median of 9 books, de-vigged · vig removed
Tier record · $100–$1000 by tier Full record →
TIER 4 0–0 — 0 live TIER 3 0–0 — 1 live TIER 2 0–0 — 5 live TIER 1 0–0 — 0 live
Off-card bookings (40)
August 8, 2026 Joshua Silveira 38.0% VS Aaron Jeffery 62.0%
Lines at 4 books
Book SilveiraJeffery Silveira true %
ballybet+145 -200 38.0%
betonlineag+155 -177 38.0%
fanduel+158 -188 37.3%
winamax fr+120 -222 39.7%
median of 4 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 8, 2026 Lewis McGrillen 86.5% VS Brandon Lewis 13.5%
Lines at 5 books
Book McGrillenLewis McGrillen true %
ballybet-910 +540 85.2%
betmgm-1100 +700 88.0%
betonlineag-1000 +661 87.4%
fanduel-900 +610 86.5%
winamax fr-1667 +440 83.6%
median of 5 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 8, 2026 Valentin Moldavsky 79.7% VS Bruno Cappelozza 20.3%
Lines at 4 books
Book MoldavskyCappelozza Moldavsky true %
ballybet-480 +310 77.2%
betmgm-500 +360 79.3%
betonlineag-500 +383 80.1%
fanduel-520 +400 80.7%
median of 4 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 8, 2026 Bryan Battle 57.0% VS Dalton Rosta 43.0%
Lines at 5 books
Book BattleRosta Battle true %
ballybet-152 +120 57.0%
betmgm-150 +125 57.4%
betonlineag-145 +125 57.1%
fanduel-136 +116 55.5%
winamax fr-179 +100 56.2%
median of 5 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 8, 2026 Cheyanne Bowers 76.7% VS Elora Dana 23.3%
Lines at 4 books
Book BowersDana Bowers true %
ballybet-385 +265 74.3%
betmgm-425 +310 76.8%
betonlineag-390 +310 76.5%
fanduel-405 +320 77.1%
median of 4 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 8, 2026 Cheyden Leialoha 72.0% VS Robbie Ring 28.0%
Lines at 4 books
Book LeialohaRing Leialoha true %
ballybet-295 +205 69.5%
betmgm-300 +240 71.8%
betonlineag-300 +245 72.1%
fanduel-310 +250 72.6%
median of 4 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 8, 2026 Denis Goltsov 79.1% VS Hasan Mezhiev 20.9%
Lines at 4 books
Book GoltsovMezhiev Goltsov true %
ballybet-400 +270 74.7%
betmgm-500 +360 79.3%
betonlineag-455 +354 78.8%
fanduel-480 +370 79.5%
median of 4 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 8, 2026 Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov 59.6% VS Simeon Powell 40.4%
Lines at 5 books
Book YagshimuradovPowell Yagshimuradov true %
ballybet-182 +132 60.0%
betonlineag-160 +140 59.6%
fanduel-166 +140 60.0%
unibet fr-179 +130 59.6%
winamax fr-200 +110 58.3%
median of 5 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 8, 2026 Eduardo Neves 42.1% VS Maxwell Djantou Nana 57.9%
Lines at 4 books
Book NevesNana Neves true %
ballybet+120 -165 42.2%
betmgm+125 -150 42.6%
betonlineag+130 -150 42.0%
fanduel+136 -162 40.7%
median of 4 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 8, 2026 Josh Fremd 76.8% VS Jhony Gregory 23.2%
Lines at 5 books
Book FremdGregory Fremd true %
ballybet-385 +265 74.3%
betmgm-425 +310 76.8%
betonlineag-410 +324 77.3%
fanduel-420 +330 77.6%
winamax fr-556 +245 74.5%
median of 5 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 8, 2026 Jonathan Martin 55.6% VS Wilson Lopshire 44.4%
Lines at 4 books
Book MartinLopshire Martin true %
ballybet-143 +107 54.9%
betmgm-135 +110 54.7%
betonlineag-142 +122 56.6%
fanduel-142 +120 56.3%
median of 4 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 8, 2026 Michael Boylan 28.0% VS Landry Ward 72.0%
Lines at 4 books
Book BoylanWard Boylan true %
ballybet+215 -305 29.7%
betmgm+240 -300 28.2%
betonlineag+245 -300 27.9%
fanduel+250 -310 27.4%
median of 4 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 8, 2026 Trukon Carson 31.2% VS Trey Waters 68.8%
Lines at 4 books
Book CarsonWaters Carson true %
ballybet+175 -245 33.9%
betmgm+220 -275 29.9%
betonlineag+207 -250 31.3%
fanduel+210 -255 31.0%
median of 4 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 8, 2026 Giovanna Canuto 30.6% VS Carol Foro 69.4%
Lines at 19 books
Book CanutoForo Canuto true %
pinnacle+215 -258 30.6%
ballybet+205 -265 31.1%
betanysports+215 -280 30.1%
betfair ex eu+198 -244 32.1%
betonlineag+215 -260 30.5%
betparx+205 -265 31.1%
betrivers+205 -265 31.1%
betsson+225 -312 28.9%
betus+210 -255 31.0%
bovada+215 -260 30.5%
coolbet+210 -256 31.0%
draftkings+215 -265 30.4%
fanduel+210 -265 30.8%
fliff+210 -280 30.4%
hardrockbet+210 -260 30.9%
matchbook+210 -244 31.3%
nordicbet+225 -312 28.9%
onexbet+214 -292 29.9%
sport888+215 -300 29.7%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 8, 2026 Miles Johns 59.3% VS Gianni Vazquez 40.7%
Lines at 7 books
Book JohnsVazquez Johns true %
pinnacle-160 +137 59.3%
ballybet-159 +128 58.3%
betonlineag-165 +125 58.3%
betparx-159 +128 58.3%
betrivers-159 +128 58.3%
fanduel-162 +132 58.9%
onexbet-148 +130 57.9%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 8, 2026 Louie Sutherland 62.8% VS Jose Montanha 37.2%
Lines at 17 books
Book SutherlandMontanha Sutherland true %
pinnacle-185 +160 62.8%
ballybet-182 +145 61.3%
betanysports-195 +165 63.7%
betfair ex eu-185 +158 62.6%
betmgm-200 +165 63.9%
betonlineag-202 +175 64.8%
betparx-182 +145 61.3%
betrivers-182 +145 61.3%
betus-200 +166 63.9%
bovada-195 +165 63.7%
coolbet-192 +162 63.3%
draftkings-192 +160 63.1%
fanduel-188 +152 62.2%
fliff-200 +150 62.5%
hardrockbet-180 +145 61.2%
matchbook-185 +158 62.6%
onexbet-200 +153 62.8%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 16, 2026 Charles Johnson 26.2% VS Jose Ochoa 73.8%
Lines at 13 books
Book JohnsonOchoa Johnson true %
pinnacle+267 -327 26.2%
ballybet+280 -385 24.9%
betclic fr+270 -417 25.1%
betonlineag+285 -355 25.0%
betparx+280 -385 24.9%
betrivers+280 -385 24.9%
betsson+275 -400 25.0%
coolbet+270 -333 26.0%
draftkings+275 -345 25.6%
hardrockbet+275 -375 25.2%
nordicbet+275 -400 25.0%
onexbet+268 -330 26.1%
sport888+280 -376 25.0%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 16, 2026 Chidi Njokuani 31.8% VS Joel Alvarez 68.2%
Lines at 12 books
Book NjokuaniAlvarez Njokuani true %
ballybet+195 -250 32.2%
betonlineag+215 -260 30.5%
betparx+195 -250 32.2%
betrivers+195 -250 32.2%
betsson+185 -250 32.9%
coolbet+205 -250 31.5%
draftkings+210 -258 30.9%
fliff+205 -270 31.0%
hardrockbet+195 -250 32.2%
nordicbet+185 -250 32.9%
onexbet+230 -244 29.9%
sport888+205 -275 30.9%
median of 12 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 16, 2026 Rafael Tobias 33.8% VS Lucas Fernando 66.2%
Lines at 12 books
Book TobiasFernando Tobias true %
pinnacle+185 -220 33.8%
ballybet+190 -245 32.7%
betonlineag+192 -230 32.9%
betparx+190 -245 32.7%
betrivers+190 -245 32.7%
betsson+170 -227 34.8%
coolbet+190 -227 33.2%
draftkings+185 -225 33.6%
fliff+180 -235 33.7%
hardrockbet+190 -240 32.8%
nordicbet+170 -227 34.8%
onexbet+185 -224 33.7%
Pinnacle, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
September 10, 2026 Mauricio Ruffy 75.1% VS Arman Tsarukyan 24.9%
Lines at 5 books
Book RuffyTsarukyan Ruffy true %
betclic fr-476 +300 76.8%
betonlineag+306 -385 23.7%
draftkings-360 +285 75.1%
onexbet-351 +314 76.3%
winamax fr-435 +230 72.8%
median of 5 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
September 20, 2026 Tai Tuivasa 20.9% VS Robelis Despaigne 79.1%
Lines at 3 books
Book TuivasaDespaigne Tuivasa true %
betonlineag-475 +367 79.4%
draftkings+380 -500 20.0%
onexbet+366 -429 20.9%
median of 3 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
September 20, 2026 Gable Steveson 87.4% VS Sean Sharaf 12.6%
Lines at 3 books
Book StevesonSharaf Steveson true %
betonlineag-1500 +600 86.8%
draftkings-1100 +700 88.0%
onexbet-1163 +655 87.4%
median of 3 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
September 26, 2026 Darren Till 59.9% VS Yoel Romero 40.1%
Lines at 1 books
Book TillRomero Till true %
betonlineag-175 +135 59.9%
median of 1 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
December 27, 2026 Manel Kape 63.5% VS Joshua Van 36.5%
Lines at 1 books
Book KapeVan Kape true %
betonlineag-190 +165 63.5%
median of 1 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
December 31, 2026 Josh Hokit 59.6% VS Alex Pereira 40.4%
Lines at 1 books
Book HokitPereira Hokit true %
betonlineag-160 +140 59.6%
median of 1 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
December 31, 2026 Justin Gaethje 19.8% VS Arman Tsarukyan 80.2%
Lines at 1 books
Book GaethjeTsarukyan Gaethje true %
betonlineag+385 -500 19.8%
median of 1 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
December 31, 2026 Ciryl Gane 68.9% VS Josh Hokit 31.1%
Lines at 1 books
Book GaneHokit Gane true %
betonlineag-250 +210 68.9%
median of 1 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
December 31, 2026 Justin Gaethje 31.1% VS Ilia Topuria 68.9%
Lines at 1 books
Book GaethjeTopuria Gaethje true %
betonlineag+210 -250 31.1%
median of 1 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
December 31, 2026 Valentina Shevchenko 54.4% VS Natalia Silva 45.6%
Lines at 2 books
Book ShevchenkoSilva Shevchenko true %
betonlineag-250 +210 68.9%
onexbet+141 -166 39.9%
median of 2 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
December 31, 2026 Conor McGregor 57.1% VS Jorge Masvidal 42.9%
Lines at 1 books
Book McGregorMasvidal McGregor true %
betonlineag-145 +125 57.1%
median of 1 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
January 1, 2027 Tom Aspinall 53.2% VS Ciryl Gane 46.8%
Lines at 1 books
Book AspinallGane Aspinall true %
betonlineag-125 +105 53.2%
median of 1 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
January 1, 2027 Khamzat Chimaev 79.8% VS Paulo Henrique Costa 20.2%
Lines at 1 books
Book ChimaevCosta Chimaev true %
betonlineag-500 +375 79.8%
median of 1 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
January 1, 2027 Sean Strickland 35.1% VS Khamzat Chimaev 64.9%
Lines at 1 books
Book StricklandChimaev Strickland true %
betonlineag+175 -205 35.1%
median of 1 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
January 1, 2027 Max Holloway 62.1% VS Paddy Pimblett 37.9%
Lines at 1 books
Book HollowayPimblett Holloway true %
betonlineag-180 +155 62.1%
median of 1 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
January 1, 2027 Merab Dvalishvili 38.6% VS Petr Yan 61.4%
Lines at 1 books
Book DvalishviliYan Dvalishvili true %
betonlineag+150 -175 38.6%
median of 1 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
January 1, 2027 Sean Strickland 49.1% VS Nassourdine Imavov 50.9%
Lines at 1 books
Book StricklandImavov Strickland true %
betonlineag-106 -114 49.1%
median of 1 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
July 2, 2027 Islam Makhachev 74.0% VS Kamaru Usman 26.0%
Lines at 1 books
Book MakhachevUsman Makhachev true %
betonlineag-330 +270 74.0%
median of 1 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
July 11, 2027 Paddy Pimblett 58.0% VS Conor McGregor 42.0%
Lines at 1 books
Book PimblettMcGregor Pimblett true %
betonlineag-150 +130 58.0%
median of 1 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 1, 2027 Magomed Ankalaev 63.5% VS Carlos Ulberg 36.5%
Lines at 1 books
Book AnkalaevUlberg Ankalaev true %
betonlineag-190 +165 63.5%
median of 1 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
August 1, 2027 Magomed Ankalaev 64.6% VS Jiri Prochazka 35.4%
Lines at 1 books
Book AnkalaevProchazka Ankalaev true %
betonlineag-200 +174 64.6%
median of 1 books, de-vigged · vig removed · no sim
How to read the board
Our sim
2,000 seeded Monte Carlo fights per bout, built only from what's in our database — stats, styles, form, durability. It never sees a betting line.
Book
Every book's moneyline with the vig stripped out, so the pair sums to 100%. Anchor: de-vigged Pinnacle when listed, else the de-vigged median (pinnacle_else_median). ▼ / ▲ chips show drift since the opening line, in American cents.
Calls & tiers
A call fires when the sim and the book split far enough on the same fighter; the size of the split sets the tier — TIER 4 the rarest, TIER 1 the lightest. Under a 30% read it goes to the LONGSHOT board and stays out of the tier record. See the record →

For entertainment only. Analysis, not betting advice. If you bet, bet legally and responsibly.