Vagner Rocha vs. Donald Cerrone

UFC 1-3-0 vs. 23-14-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
1-3-0
UFC record
23-14-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
44
AgeΔ 1 yrs
43
5'10"
HeightΔ 3"
6'1"
73"
ReachΔ 0"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
141
Layoff (months)Δ 91.8 mo
49.2
LLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLNCLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Vagner Rocha is a submission threat — 1.86 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Donald Cerrone carries real power — 0.84 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Donald Cerrone absorbs 5.11 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Vagner Rocha

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 33
Tier 3 — regional circuit 111

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.05 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Donald Cerrone

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 2314
Tier 3 — regional circuit 133

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.09 · 23 tier-1/2 wins · 27 finish wins over 55 documented bouts

In the UFC: 20-13 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

852.64/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
17484.90/min · norm 3.42
1454.50/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
18255.11/min · norm 3.37
42.5%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
47.4%norm 43.5%
48.0%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
51.6%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
200.84/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Vagner Rocha

Distance 91.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 0.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 8.0%)

Donald Cerrone

Distance 89.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.2% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Vagner Rocha

Head 77.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 14.0% (norm 7.9%)

Donald Cerrone

Head 71.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.8% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rocha L/AAccLightweight med Cerrone L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 74 / 183 40.4% 37.9% 1478 / 3290 44.9% 37.9%
In the clinch 1 / 1 too few to rate 67.3% 151 / 229 65.9% 67.3%
On the ground 10 / 16 too few to rate 69.1% 119 / 172 69.2% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 56 / 154 36.4% 35.0% 893 / 2630 34.0% 35.0%
To the body 9 / 18 too few to rate 69.1% 442 / 589 75.0% 69.1%
To the legs 20 / 28 71.4% 81.9% 413 / 472 87.5% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rocha L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Cerrone L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 127 / 257 49.4% 38.9% 1558 / 3375 46.2% 38.9%
In the clinch 5 / 7 too few to rate 68.6% 211 / 305 69.2% 68.6%
On the ground 13 / 15 too few to rate 68.0% 56 / 88 63.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 65 / 181 35.9% 35.1% 1069 / 2721 39.3% 35.1%
To the body 19 / 28 67.9% 68.1% 444 / 668 66.5% 68.1%
To the legs 61 / 70 87.1% 81.5% 312 / 379 82.3% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
333.3% acc · 1.40/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2428.9% acc · 1.01/15 · norm 1.38
250.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
6288.6% def · norm 64.0%
7:0221.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
38:3610.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
2:151:02 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
19:550:50 per 15 · norm 2:46
41.86/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
110.46/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cerrone has more cage time on record.