Thiago Santos vs. Johnny Walker

UFC 14-10-0 vs. 8-7-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
14-10-0
UFC record
8-7-0 (1 NC)
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
42
AgeΔ 8 yrs
34
6'2"
HeightΔ 4"
6'6"
76"
ReachΔ 6"
82"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
48.1
Layoff (months)Δ 44.2 mo
3.9
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLNC

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Thiago Santos carries real power — 0.88 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Johnny Walker carries real power — 0.69 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Johnny Walker rarely shoots — 0.28 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Thiago Santos

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1412
Tier 3 — regional circuit 91

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.96 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 37 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.6 wins over .500

Johnny Walker

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 97
Tier 3 — regional circuit 133

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.9 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8883.72/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
4013.70/min · norm 3.41
6142.57/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
3162.91/min · norm 3.35
48.2%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
52.9%norm 48.3%
53.9%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
48.9%norm 52.9%
140.88/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
50.69/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Thiago Santos

Distance 69.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 9.8% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 20.5% (norm 10.3%)

Johnny Walker

Distance 80.3% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 4.6% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 15.0% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Thiago Santos

Head 65.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 16.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 17.3% (norm 8.4%)

Johnny Walker

Head 59.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.7% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 29.7% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Santos L/AAccMiddleweight med Walker L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 512 / 1285 39.8% 40.5% 280 / 609 46.0% 41.4%
In the clinch 150 / 181 82.9% 70.3% 28 / 35 80.0% 70.9%
On the ground 226 / 378 59.8% 69.1% 93 / 114 81.6% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 455 / 1216 37.4% 38.9% 187 / 452 41.4% 38.9%
To the body 204 / 309 66.0% 71.7% 40 / 81 49.4% 71.9%
To the legs 229 / 319 71.8% 83.3% 174 / 225 77.3% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Santos L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Walker L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 417 / 1085 38.4% 39.5% 237 / 511 46.4% 40.4%
In the clinch 87 / 110 79.1% 70.9% 24 / 36 66.7% 68.7%
On the ground 110 / 138 79.7% 69.0% 55 / 71 77.5% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 330 / 914 36.1% 37.9% 159 / 394 40.4% 37.5%
To the body 141 / 215 65.6% 71.3% 66 / 102 64.7% 72.3%
To the legs 143 / 204 70.1% 82.1% 91 / 122 74.6% 83.0%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1433.3% acc · 0.88/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
240.0% acc · 0.28/15 · norm 0.87
3865.5% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
950.0% def · norm 66.7%
31:3813.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
8:157.6% of cage time · norm 16.5%
39:232:28 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
19:372:42 per 15 · norm 2:48
10.06/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
30.42/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Santos has more cage time on record.