Siyar Bahadurzada vs. Curtis Millender

UFC 4-4-0 vs. 3-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
4-4-0
UFC record
3-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
42
AgeΔ 4 yrs
38
5'11"
HeightΔ 3"
6'2"
73"
ReachΔ 3"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
82.3
Layoff (months)Δ 5.5 mo
87.8
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Siyar Bahadurzada carries real power — 0.83 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Curtis Millender rarely shoots — 0.26 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Curtis Millender carries real power — 0.53 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Siyar Bahadurzada

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 3 — regional circuit 194

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.88 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 32 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Curtis Millender

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 67
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 136

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.41 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2642.91/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
2223.90/min · norm 3.17
2933.23/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1702.99/min · norm 3.06
40.7%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
48.1%norm 44.9%
49.1%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
61.5%norm 55.25%
50.83/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.53/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Siyar Bahadurzada

Distance 69.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 13.3% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 17.0% (norm 8.1%)

Curtis Millender

Distance 95.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 2.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 1.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Siyar Bahadurzada

Head 82.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 8.4%)

Curtis Millender

Head 71.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 16.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Bahadurzada L/AAccWelterweight med Millender L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 130 / 452 28.8% 38.6% 207 / 441 46.9% 38.6%
In the clinch 59 / 86 68.6% 67.8% 10 / 13 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 75 / 110 68.2% 67.2% 5 / 8 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 191 / 537 35.6% 37.2% 132 / 330 40.0% 37.2%
To the body 54 / 80 67.5% 70.7% 32 / 57 56.1% 70.7%
To the legs 19 / 31 61.3% 82.9% 58 / 75 77.3% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Bahadurzada L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Millender L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 223 / 445 50.1% 39.0% 132 / 377 35.0% 39.0%
In the clinch 36 / 58 62.1% 68.9% 3 / 9 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 34 / 73 46.6% 68.0% 35 / 56 62.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 167 / 390 42.8% 35.6% 104 / 338 30.8% 35.6%
To the body 49 / 86 57.0% 69.6% 19 / 39 48.7% 69.6%
To the legs 77 / 100 77.0% 82.1% 47 / 65 72.3% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
861.5% acc · 1.32/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1100.0% acc · 0.26/15 · norm 1.27
2062.5% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
952.9% def · norm 63.9%
15:4117.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
0:521.5% of cage time · norm 18.5%
28:284:42 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
18:104:47 per 15 · norm 3:15
20.33/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Bahadurzada has more cage time on record.