Shane Roller vs. TJ Grant

UFC 2-4-0 vs. 8-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-4-0
UFC record
8-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
47
AgeΔ 5 yrs
42
5'10"
HeightΔ 0"
5'10"
72"
ReachΔ 0"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
166.1
Layoff (months)Δ 7.7 mo
158.4
LWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
TJ Grant carries real power — 0.58 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Shane Roller is wasteful with body shots — only 39% land, vs a 69% Lightweight norm.
TJ Grant's takedown defense leaks — 37% stopped, vs a 64% Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Shane Roller

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 24
Tier 3 — regional circuit 93

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.35 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

TJ Grant

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 83
Tier 3 — regional circuit 132

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.31 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1242.32/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
5103.95/min · norm 3.17
1703.18/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
4153.21/min · norm 3.06
35.7%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
54.0%norm 44.9%
61.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
56.9%norm 55.25%
10.28/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
50.58/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Shane Roller

Distance 84.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 11.5% (norm 8.0%)

TJ Grant

Distance 70.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 20.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 9.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Shane Roller

Head 84.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.8% (norm 7.9%)

TJ Grant

Head 73.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Roller L/AAccLightweight med Grant L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 79 / 294 26.9% 37.9% 315 / 663 47.5% 38.6%
In the clinch 9 / 13 too few to rate 67.3% 141 / 196 71.9% 67.8%
On the ground 36 / 40 90.0% 69.1% 54 / 85 63.5% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 93 / 294 31.6% 35.0% 298 / 693 43.0% 37.2%
To the body 13 / 33 39.4% 69.1% 154 / 187 82.4% 70.7%
To the legs 18 / 20 too few to rate 81.9% 58 / 64 90.6% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Roller L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Grant L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 123 / 369 33.3% 38.9% 285 / 723 39.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 29 / 36 80.6% 68.6% 32 / 59 54.2% 68.9%
On the ground 18 / 35 51.4% 68.0% 98 / 180 54.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 122 / 369 33.1% 35.1% 323 / 836 38.6% 35.6%
To the body 23 / 41 56.1% 68.1% 43 / 71 60.6% 69.6%
To the legs 25 / 30 83.3% 81.5% 49 / 55 89.1% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
521.7% acc · 1.40/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1443.8% acc · 1.63/15 · norm 1.27
444.4% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1436.8% def · norm 63.9%
14:4927.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
32:0724.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
13:253:45 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
47:295:30 per 15 · norm 3:15
20.56/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
50.58/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Grant has more cage time on record.