Shane Roller vs. Thiago Tavares

UFC 2-4-0 vs. 10-7-1

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-4-0
UFC record
10-7-1
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
47
AgeΔ 6 yrs
41
5'10"
HeightΔ 3"
5'7"
72"
ReachΔ 2"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
166.1
Layoff (months)Δ 45.1 mo
121
LWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Thiago Tavares is a submission threat — 1.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Thiago Tavares hunts takedowns — 3.83 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Shane Roller is wasteful with body shots — only 39% land, vs a 69% Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Shane Roller

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 24
Tier 3 — regional circuit 93

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.35 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Thiago Tavares

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 129
Tier 3 — regional circuit 121

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 35 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1242.32/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3292.00/min · norm 3.42
1703.18/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
3792.31/min · norm 3.37
35.7%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
40.1%norm 43.5%
61.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
62.8%norm 56.3%
10.28/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Shane Roller

Distance 84.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 11.5% (norm 8.0%)

Thiago Tavares

Distance 75.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 18.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Shane Roller

Head 84.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.8% (norm 7.9%)

Thiago Tavares

Head 82.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Roller L/AAccLightweight med Tavares L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 79 / 294 26.9% 37.9% 209 / 618 33.8% 37.9%
In the clinch 9 / 13 too few to rate 67.3% 30 / 53 56.6% 67.3%
On the ground 36 / 40 90.0% 69.1% 90 / 149 60.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 93 / 294 31.6% 35.0% 229 / 680 33.7% 35.0%
To the body 13 / 33 39.4% 69.1% 76 / 106 71.7% 69.1%
To the legs 18 / 20 too few to rate 81.9% 24 / 34 70.6% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Roller L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Tavares L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 123 / 369 33.3% 38.9% 224 / 783 28.6% 38.9%
In the clinch 29 / 36 80.6% 68.6% 59 / 97 60.8% 68.6%
On the ground 18 / 35 51.4% 68.0% 96 / 139 69.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 122 / 369 33.1% 35.1% 243 / 834 29.1% 35.1%
To the body 23 / 41 56.1% 68.1% 69 / 102 67.6% 68.1%
To the legs 25 / 30 83.3% 81.5% 67 / 83 80.7% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
521.7% acc · 1.40/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
4242.9% acc · 3.83/15 · norm 1.38
444.4% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2262.9% def · norm 64.0%
14:4927.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
63:2738.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
13:253:45 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
33:293:03 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.56/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
161.46/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tavares has more cage time on record.