Shane Carwin vs. Christian Wellisch

UFC 4-2-0 vs. 2-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
4-2-0
UFC record
2-3-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
51
AgeΔ 1 yrs
50
6'2"
HeightΔ 0"
6'2"
80"
ReachΔ 3"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
181.9
Layoff (months)Δ 28.3 mo
210.2
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Christian Wellisch is a submission threat — 1.22 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Shane Carwin carries real power — 2.03 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Christian Wellisch carries real power — 0.41 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Shane Carwin

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 42
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.54 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.3 wins over .500

Christian Wellisch

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 23
Tier 3 — regional circuit 62

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.45 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 13 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1314.44/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
1153.12/min · norm 3.36
1103.73/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
1123.04/min · norm 3.19
46.6%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
27.9%norm 47.8%
54.2%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
56.1%norm 52.5%
42.03/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
10.41/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Shane Carwin

Distance 45.6% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 19.6% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 34.9% (norm 9.3%)

Christian Wellisch

Distance 83.7% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 10.9% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Shane Carwin

Head 91.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 1.4% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.5% (norm 7.6%)

Christian Wellisch

Head 91.5% (norm 79.2%) · Body 2.9% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 5.6% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Carwin L/AAccHeavyweight med Wellisch L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 29 / 128 22.7% 40.1% 83 / 345 24.1% 40.1%
In the clinch 41 / 55 74.5% 70.6% 24 / 45 53.3% 70.6%
On the ground 61 / 98 62.2% 70.2% 8 / 22 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 107 / 256 41.8% 38.9% 89 / 377 23.6% 38.9%
To the body 4 / 4 too few to rate 76.8% 8 / 12 too few to rate 76.8%
To the legs 20 / 21 too few to rate 87.8% 18 / 23 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Carwin L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Wellisch L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 77 / 194 39.7% 40.7% 53 / 166 31.9% 40.7%
In the clinch 8 / 10 too few to rate 70.6% 47 / 70 67.1% 70.6%
On the ground 25 / 36 69.4% 72.0% 12 / 19 too few to rate 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 88 / 210 41.9% 38.8% 90 / 229 39.3% 38.8%
To the body 16 / 24 too few to rate 75.1% 7 / 11 too few to rate 75.1%
To the legs 6 / 6 too few to rate 84.4% 15 / 15 too few to rate 84.4%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
228.6% acc · 1.02/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
342.9% acc · 1.22/15 · norm 0.95
342.9% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
1045.5% def · norm 64.3%
7:1724.7% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
4:3312.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
3:481:55 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
12:064:55 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
31.22/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Carwin has more cage time on record.