Shamar Bailey vs. Ryan McGillivray

UFC 1-2-0 vs. 0-1-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
1-2-0
UFC record
0-1-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
43
AgeΔ 4 yrs
39
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
75"
Reach
Southpaw
Stance
176.6
Layoff (months)Δ 5.6 mo
182.2
LLW
Last 5 (newest first)
L

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Ryan McGillivray rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Shamar Bailey's takedown defense leaks — 25% stopped, vs a 64% Lightweight norm.
Shamar Bailey hunts takedowns — 2.15 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Shamar Bailey

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 13
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 157

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.1 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Ryan McGillivray

Full career not yet synced for Ryan McGillivray — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

712.04/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
191.27/min · norm 3.17
1333.81/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
332.20/min · norm 3.06
25.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
20.9%norm 44.9%
72.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
52.2%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Shamar Bailey

Distance 91.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 8.0%)

Ryan McGillivray

Distance 98.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 0.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 1.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Shamar Bailey

Head 82.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.0% (norm 7.9%)

Ryan McGillivray

Head 95.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 3.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 1.1% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Bailey L/AAccLightweight med McGillivray L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 53 / 254 20.9% 37.9% 18 / 90 20.0% 38.6%
In the clinch 11 / 12 too few to rate 67.3% 0 / 0 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 7 / 13 too few to rate 69.1% 1 / 1 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 43 / 229 18.8% 35.0% 17 / 87 19.5% 37.2%
To the body 14 / 25 56.0% 69.1% 2 / 3 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 14 / 25 56.0% 81.9% 0 / 1 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Bailey L/AOpp accLightweight med vs McGillivray L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 110 / 438 25.1% 38.9% 20 / 49 40.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 2 / 5 too few to rate 68.6% 8 / 9 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 21 / 33 63.6% 68.0% 5 / 11 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 121 / 452 26.8% 35.1% 21 / 56 37.5% 35.6%
To the body 9 / 19 too few to rate 68.1% 9 / 10 too few to rate 69.6%
To the legs 3 / 5 too few to rate 81.5% 3 / 3 too few to rate 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
535.7% acc · 2.15/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.27
125.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
444.4% def · norm 63.9%
9:3327.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
0:000.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
4:482:03 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
9:219:21 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Bailey has more cage time on record.