Sergio Moraes vs. Tim Means

UFC 8-5-1 vs. 15-14-0 (1 NC)
Simulate this fight

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line

Sergio Moraes

VS

Tim Means

8-5-1
UFC record
15-14-0 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
44
AgeΔ 2 yrs
42
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
6'2"
72"
ReachΔ 3"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
80.7
Layoff (months)Δ 58.6 mo
22.1
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Tim Means outworks the Welterweight division — 5.04 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Tim Means carries real power — 0.57 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Sergio Moraes is wasteful with clinch strikes — only 48% land, vs a 68% Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Sergio Moraes

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 95
Tier 3 — regional circuit 52

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Tim Means

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1514
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 163

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.85 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 25 finish wins over 52 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4232.42/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
14575.04/min · norm 3.17
6523.73/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
10553.65/min · norm 3.06
42.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
49.1%norm 44.9%
60.0%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
60.2%norm 55.25%
10.09/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
110.57/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sergio Moraes

Distance 93.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 2.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.6% (norm 8.1%)

Tim Means

Distance 84.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.8% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sergio Moraes

Head 85.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.1% (norm 8.4%)

Tim Means

Head 74.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Moraes L/AAccWelterweight med Means L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 385 / 932 41.3% 38.6% 1116 / 2495 44.7% 38.6%
In the clinch 12 / 25 48.0% 67.8% 202 / 270 74.8% 67.8%
On the ground 26 / 36 72.2% 67.2% 139 / 203 68.5% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 324 / 848 38.2% 37.2% 885 / 2197 40.3% 37.2%
To the body 73 / 114 64.0% 70.7% 409 / 594 68.9% 70.7%
To the legs 26 / 31 83.9% 82.9% 163 / 177 92.1% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Moraes L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Means L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 609 / 1563 39.0% 39.0% 899 / 2384 37.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 17 / 22 too few to rate 68.9% 102 / 162 63.0% 68.9%
On the ground 26 / 44 59.1% 68.0% 54 / 107 50.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 413 / 1291 32.0% 35.6% 733 / 2171 33.8% 35.6%
To the body 108 / 176 61.4% 69.6% 191 / 323 59.1% 69.6%
To the legs 131 / 162 80.9% 82.1% 131 / 159 82.4% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1438.9% acc · 1.20/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2240.0% acc · 1.14/15 · norm 1.27
375.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
6864.8% def · norm 63.9%
29:5317.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
41:1114.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
10:360:54 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
44:322:18 per 15 · norm 3:15
50.43/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
30.16/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Means has more cage time on record.

Simulate this fight Compare