Said Nurmagomedov vs. Bryce Mitchell

UFC 7-4-0 vs. 10-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
7-4-0
UFC record
10-3-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
34
AgeΔ 3 yrs
31
5'8"
HeightΔ 2"
5'10"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
12.4
Layoff (months)Δ 10.3 mo
2.1
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Said Nurmagomedov is a submission threat — 1.15 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Bryce Mitchell owns the mat — in control 55% of cage time, vs a 17% Featherweight norm.
Bryce Mitchell is a submission threat — 1.27 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Said Nurmagomedov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 74
Tier 3 — regional circuit 111

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.25 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Bryce Mitchell

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 103
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.54 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3213.08/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
3372.19/min · norm 3.54
2142.05/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
2321.51/min · norm 3.47
48.6%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
59.0%norm 45.0%
55.6%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
58.9%norm 54.85%
20.29/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
10.10/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Said Nurmagomedov

Distance 84.1% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 9.5% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 6.4% (norm 6.5%)

Bryce Mitchell

Distance 67.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 25.7% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Said Nurmagomedov

Head 71.7% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.0% (norm 8.4%)

Bryce Mitchell

Head 64.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 26.3% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 9.3% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nurmagomedov L/AAccBantamweight med Mitchell L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 244 / 556 43.9% 39.0% 188 / 384 49.0% 40.9%
In the clinch 46 / 63 73.0% 68.7% 30 / 40 75.0% 70.8%
On the ground 31 / 42 73.8% 70.2% 119 / 147 81.0% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 173 / 474 36.5% 34.9% 192 / 368 52.2% 37.2%
To the body 79 / 108 73.1% 66.8% 100 / 150 66.7% 68.2%
To the legs 69 / 79 87.3% 79.4% 45 / 53 84.9% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nurmagomedov L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Mitchell L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 155 / 388 39.9% 39.3% 167 / 471 35.5% 39.2%
In the clinch 32 / 44 72.7% 70.4% 12 / 22 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 27 / 50 54.0% 72.4% 53 / 72 73.6% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 89 / 294 30.3% 34.9% 145 / 434 33.4% 35.9%
To the body 52 / 91 57.1% 66.0% 57 / 95 60.0% 67.9%
To the legs 73 / 97 75.3% 79.1% 30 / 36 83.3% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
615.4% acc · 0.86/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
3236.4% acc · 3.12/15 · norm 1.19
2463.2% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
538.5% def · norm 61.5%
11:4711.3% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
84:3755.0% of cage time · norm 16.7%
38:035:28 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
23:302:17 per 15 · norm 3:12
81.15/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
131.27/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Mitchell has more cage time on record.