Ryan MacDonald vs. Louis Smolka

UFC 0-2-0 vs. 8-9-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
0-2-0
UFC record
8-9-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
33
AgeΔ 2 yrs
35
5'11"
HeightΔ 2"
5'9"
71"
ReachΔ 3"
68"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
82.8
Layoff (months)Δ 32 mo
50.8
LL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Louis Smolka is a submission threat — 1.78 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Ryan MacDonald rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Ryan MacDonald absorbs 6.49 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.58 Bantamweight norm — hittable.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Ryan MacDonald

Full career not yet synced for Ryan MacDonald — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500

Louis Smolka

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 89
Tier 3 — regional circuit 90

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.98 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

452.28/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
7474.67/min · norm 3.49
1286.49/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
6574.11/min · norm 3.24
29.0%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
47.4%norm 44.6%
45.8%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
53.6%norm 56.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
20.19/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ryan MacDonald

Distance 98.7% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 1.3% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 6.5%)

Louis Smolka

Distance 72.4% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 20.5% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ryan MacDonald

Head 78.1% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.0% (norm 8.4%)

Louis Smolka

Head 77.8% (norm 75.9%) · Body 18.2% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 3.9% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone MacDonald L/AAccBantamweight med Smolka L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 45 / 153 29.4% 39.0% 455 / 1141 39.9% 40.0%
In the clinch 0 / 2 too few to rate 68.7% 81 / 111 73.0% 70.4%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 70.2% 211 / 323 65.3% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 24 / 121 19.8% 34.9% 497 / 1226 40.5% 37.6%
To the body 7 / 17 too few to rate 66.8% 194 / 287 67.6% 68.5%
To the legs 14 / 17 too few to rate 79.4% 56 / 62 90.3% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs MacDonald L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Smolka L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 126 / 231 54.5% 39.3% 468 / 1154 40.6% 40.1%
In the clinch 2 / 5 too few to rate 70.4% 90 / 130 69.2% 68.8%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 72.4% 99 / 133 74.4% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 42 / 112 37.5% 34.9% 377 / 1031 36.6% 35.2%
To the body 52 / 81 64.2% 66.0% 185 / 281 65.8% 68.2%
To the legs 34 / 43 79.1% 79.1% 95 / 105 90.5% 80.3%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
1835.3% acc · 1.69/15 · norm 1.30
0— def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1932.2% def · norm 62.5%
0:524.4% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
45:1428.3% of cage time · norm 17.0%
0:170:12 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
40:353:48 per 15 · norm 2:44
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
191.78/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Smolka has more cage time on record.