Roxanne Modafferi vs. Raquel Pennington

UFC 4-8-0 vs. 13-6-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
4-8-0
UFC record
13-6-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
43
AgeΔ 6 yrs
37
5'7"
HeightΔ 0"
5'7"
69"
ReachΔ 2"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
53.8
Layoff (months)Δ 31.7 mo
22.1
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Raquel Pennington is a submission threat — 0.62 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.34 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Roxanne Modafferi absorbs 5.72 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.81 Women's Flyweight norm — hittable.
Roxanne Modafferi's takedown defense leaks — 30% stopped, vs a 59% Women's Flyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Roxanne Modafferi

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 48
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 2111

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.22 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Raquel Pennington

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 136
Tier 3 — regional circuit 33

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.99 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 5 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6223.39/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
11934.10/min · norm 3.56
10495.72/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
9663.32/min · norm 3.51
30.3%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
49.2%norm 46.65%
52.3%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
61.1%norm 52.45%
10.08/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
10.05/15 · norm 0.08

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Roxanne Modafferi

Distance 93.4% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 2.6% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 3.9% (norm 4.9%)

Raquel Pennington

Distance 76.8% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 18.1% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Roxanne Modafferi

Head 92.2% (norm 78.1%) · Body 5.5% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 2.3% (norm 7.7%)

Raquel Pennington

Head 75.5% (norm 75.2%) · Body 18.4% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 8.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Modafferi L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Pennington L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 532 / 1920 27.7% 39.9% 734 / 1863 39.4% 38.3%
In the clinch 35 / 54 64.8% 73.3% 358 / 438 81.7% 73.3%
On the ground 55 / 81 67.9% 74.7% 101 / 125 80.8% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 523 / 1894 27.6% 34.9% 690 / 1831 37.7% 37.7%
To the body 62 / 114 54.4% 69.5% 371 / 447 83.0% 70.0%
To the legs 37 / 47 78.7% 82.6% 132 / 148 89.2% 80.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Modafferi L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Pennington L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 906 / 1995 45.4% 38.8% 666 / 2067 32.2% 41.3%
In the clinch 72 / 94 76.6% 74.1% 282 / 392 71.9% 74.7%
On the ground 71 / 109 65.1% 73.4% 18 / 23 too few to rate 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 799 / 1888 42.3% 35.3% 555 / 1857 29.9% 38.1%
To the body 126 / 181 69.6% 69.0% 271 / 433 62.6% 73.2%
To the legs 124 / 129 96.1% 78.7% 140 / 192 72.9% 80.9%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1627.6% acc · 1.31/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
1627.6% acc · 0.83/15 · norm 0.91
930.0% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
4062.5% def · norm 62.5%
49:3527.0% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
66:2122.8% of cage time · norm 26.55%
36:543:00 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
73:463:48 per 15 · norm 3:19
10.08/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
120.62/15 · norm 0.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Pennington has more cage time on record.