Randy Costa vs. Tony Kelley
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Randy Costa
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 2 | 4 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 6 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.72 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 13 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.7 wins over .500
Tony Kelley
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 2 | 2 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 1 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 5 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.02 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 11 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Randy Costa
Distance 93.4% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 6.5%)
Tony Kelley
Distance 75.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 18.0% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 6.7% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Randy Costa
Head 89.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 9.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.1% (norm 8.4%)
Tony Kelley
Head 62.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 27.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.5% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Costa L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med | Kelley L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 155 / 351 | 44.2% | 39.0% | 144 / 381 | 37.8% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 14 / 16 | too few to rate | 68.7% | 72 / 91 | 79.1% | 68.7% |
| On the ground | 5 / 9 | too few to rate | 70.2% | 23 / 34 | 67.6% | 70.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 143 / 337 | 42.4% | 34.9% | 112 / 317 | 35.3% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 27 / 35 | 77.1% | 66.8% | 89 / 141 | 63.1% | 66.8% |
| To the legs | 4 / 4 | too few to rate | 79.4% | 38 / 48 | 79.2% | 79.4% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Costa L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med | vs Kelley L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 135 / 386 | 35.0% | 39.3% | 165 / 334 | 49.4% | 39.3% |
| In the clinch | 38 / 49 | 77.6% | 70.4% | 36 / 39 | 92.3% | 70.4% |
| On the ground | 29 / 46 | 63.0% | 72.4% | 8 / 11 | too few to rate | 72.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 93 / 328 | 28.4% | 34.9% | 110 / 269 | 40.9% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 65 / 104 | 62.5% | 66.0% | 84 / 95 | 88.4% | 66.0% |
| To the legs | 44 / 49 | 89.8% | 79.1% | 15 / 20 | too few to rate | 79.1% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Costa has more cage time on record.