Rafael Natal vs. Rich Attonito

UFC 9-7-1 vs. 3-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
9-7-1
UFC record
3-2-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
43
AgeΔ 6 yrs
49
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
5'10"
77"
ReachΔ 5"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
108.6
Layoff (months)Δ 67.4 mo
176
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Rafael Natal hunts takedowns — 2.55 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Rich Attonito carries real power — 0.50 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Rich Attonito rarely shoots — 0.74 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Rafael Natal

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 97
Tier 3 — regional circuit 122

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.83 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Rich Attonito

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 32
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 72

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.62 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 15 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6563.10/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
1382.28/min · norm 3.25
5242.48/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
1292.13/min · norm 3.20
47.9%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
47.9%norm 47.4%
57.6%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
59.2%norm 53.8%
50.35/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
20.50/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rafael Natal

Distance 76.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 8.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 15.3% (norm 10.3%)

Rich Attonito

Distance 58.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 6.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 34.4% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rafael Natal

Head 71.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 16.3% (norm 8.4%)

Rich Attonito

Head 80.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Natal L/AAccMiddleweight med Attonito L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 432 / 1049 41.2% 40.5% 61 / 169 36.1% 40.5%
In the clinch 79 / 111 71.2% 70.3% 12 / 20 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 145 / 210 69.0% 69.1% 65 / 99 65.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 379 / 976 38.8% 38.9% 91 / 233 39.1% 38.9%
To the body 93 / 171 54.4% 71.7% 25 / 31 80.6% 71.7%
To the legs 184 / 223 82.5% 83.3% 22 / 24 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Natal L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Attonito L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 369 / 1016 36.3% 39.5% 74 / 251 29.5% 39.5%
In the clinch 58 / 89 65.2% 70.9% 25 / 28 89.3% 70.9%
On the ground 97 / 131 74.0% 69.0% 30 / 37 81.1% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 315 / 950 33.2% 37.9% 69 / 223 30.9% 37.9%
To the body 73 / 117 62.4% 71.3% 26 / 52 50.0% 71.3%
To the legs 136 / 169 80.5% 82.1% 34 / 41 82.9% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
3634.3% acc · 2.55/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
337.5% acc · 0.74/15 · norm 1.42
2777.1% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2175.0% def · norm 63.1%
53:3925.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
15:2925.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
30:472:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
15:273:49 per 15 · norm 3:00
70.50/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Natal has more cage time on record.