Rachael Ostovich vs. Paige VanZant
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Rachael Ostovich
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 1 | 3 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 3 | 3 |
Tier-weighted record quality: -0.44 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 2 finish wins over 10 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500
Paige VanZant
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 5 | 4 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 3 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.88 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 5 finish wins over 13 documented bouts
In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Rachael Ostovich
Distance 93.1% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 5.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 1.4% (norm 4.9%)
Paige VanZant
Distance 50.1% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 26.9% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 23.0% (norm 5.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Rachael Ostovich
Head 74.8% (norm 78.1%) · Body 21.6% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 3.7% (norm 7.7%)
Paige VanZant
Head 68.4% (norm 76.4%) · Body 22.1% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 9.1%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Ostovich L/A | Acc | Women's Flyweight med | VanZant L/A | Acc | Women's Strawweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 81 / 203 | 39.9% | 39.9% | 109 / 303 | 36.0% | 38.3% |
| In the clinch | 11 / 12 | too few to rate | 73.3% | 104 / 163 | 63.8% | 72.6% |
| On the ground | 2 / 3 | too few to rate | 74.7% | 102 / 139 | 73.4% | 75.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 56 / 163 | 34.4% | 34.9% | 197 / 414 | 47.6% | 35.4% |
| To the body | 33 / 47 | 70.2% | 69.5% | 79 / 134 | 59.0% | 69.3% |
| To the legs | 5 / 8 | too few to rate | 82.6% | 39 / 57 | 68.4% | 77.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Ostovich L/A | Opp acc | Women's Flyweight med | vs VanZant L/A | Opp acc | Women's Strawweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 87 / 257 | 33.9% | 38.8% | 119 / 243 | 49.0% | 39.7% |
| In the clinch | 15 / 27 | 55.6% | 74.1% | 79 / 118 | 66.9% | 71.5% |
| On the ground | 45 / 64 | 70.3% | 73.4% | 49 / 69 | 71.0% | 74.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 114 / 303 | 37.6% | 35.3% | 157 / 310 | 50.6% | 36.0% |
| To the body | 18 / 29 | 62.1% | 69.0% | 70 / 97 | 72.2% | 68.4% |
| To the legs | 15 / 16 | too few to rate | 78.7% | 20 / 23 | too few to rate | 79.1% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — VanZant has more cage time on record.