Paul Varelans vs. Dan Severn

UFC 4-4-0 vs. 9-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
4-4-0
UFC record
9-4-0
Open Weight
Division (benchmark)
Open Weight
Age
68
6'8"
HeightΔ 6"
6'2"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
356
Layoff (months)Δ 45.5 mo
310.5
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Paul Varelans defends clinch strikes well — opponents land just 24%, vs a 67% Open Weight norm.
Dan Severn is hard to hit — absorbs 0.67 sig. strikes per minute, vs a 1.68 Open Weight norm.
Dan Severn hunts takedowns — 1.82 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.15 Open Weight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Paul Varelans

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 12
Tier 3 — regional circuit 37

Tier-weighted record quality: -0.87 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 13 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Dan Severn

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 114
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 8414

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.95 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 72 finish wins over 121 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

561.46/min · norm 1.46
Sig. strikes landed
1181.59/min · norm 1.46
792.05/min · norm 1.68
Sig. strikes absorbed
500.67/min · norm 1.68
43.8%norm 45.8%
Striking accuracy
45.6%norm 45.8%
49.7%norm 49.0%
Striking defense
69.3%norm 49.0%
10.39/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Paul Varelans

Distance 54.7% (norm 50.2%) · Clinch 28.1% (norm 14.9%) · Ground 17.2% (norm 28.7%)

Dan Severn

Distance 50.2% (norm 50.2%) · Clinch 4.6% (norm 14.9%) · Ground 45.2% (norm 28.7%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Paul Varelans

Head 81.2% (norm 81.2%) · Body 6.2% (norm 8.0%) · Legs 12.5% (norm 5.2%)

Dan Severn

Head 86.1% (norm 81.2%) · Body 8.9% (norm 8.0%) · Legs 5.0% (norm 5.2%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Varelans L/AAccOpen Weight med Severn L/AAccOpen Weight med
BY POSITION
At distance 17 / 70 24.3% 27.8% 19 / 130 14.6% 27.8%
In the clinch 21 / 36 58.3% 63.8% 8 / 12 too few to rate 63.8%
On the ground 18 / 22 too few to rate 65.8% 91 / 117 77.8% 65.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 40 / 104 38.5% 39.3% 86 / 223 38.6% 39.3%
To the body 6 / 8 too few to rate 90.5% 21 / 23 too few to rate 90.5%
To the legs 10 / 16 too few to rate 53.5% 11 / 13 too few to rate 53.5%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Open Weight: 11 fighters · Open Weight: 11 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Varelans L/AOpp accOpen Weight med vs Severn L/AOpp accOpen Weight med
BY POSITION
At distance 44 / 83 53.0% 37.0% 26 / 132 19.7% 37.0%
In the clinch 9 / 37 24.3% 66.7% 9 / 13 too few to rate 66.7%
On the ground 26 / 37 70.3% 67.1% 15 / 18 too few to rate 67.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 46 / 101 45.5% 47.0% 27 / 132 20.5% 47.0%
To the body 3 / 7 too few to rate 87.9% 15 / 19 too few to rate 87.9%
To the legs 30 / 49 61.2% 61.2% 8 / 12 too few to rate 61.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2100.0% acc · 0.78/15 · norm 1.15
Takedowns landed
945.0% acc · 1.82/15 · norm 1.15
777.8% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
3100.0% def · norm 66.7%
— of cage time · norm 21.95%
Control time
0:000.0% of cage time · norm 21.95%
— per 15 · norm 0:39
Time under control
0:110:02 per 15 · norm 0:39
31.17/15 · norm 1.34
Submission attempts
61.21/15 · norm 1.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Severn has more cage time on record.