Paul Bradley vs. Rafael Natal
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Paul Bradley
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 3 | 6 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 20 | 4 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.64 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 35 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500
Rafael Natal
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 9 | 7 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 12 | 2 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.83 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 31 documented bouts
In the UFC: 3-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Paul Bradley
Distance 89.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.9% (norm 8.1%)
Rafael Natal
Distance 76.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 8.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 15.3% (norm 10.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Paul Bradley
Head 87.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.2% (norm 8.4%)
Rafael Natal
Head 71.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 16.3% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Bradley L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Natal L/A | Acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 61 / 189 | 32.3% | 38.6% | 432 / 1049 | 41.2% | 40.5% |
| In the clinch | 14 / 21 | too few to rate | 67.8% | 79 / 111 | 71.2% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 1 / 2 | too few to rate | 67.2% | 145 / 210 | 69.0% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 57 / 186 | 30.6% | 37.2% | 379 / 976 | 38.8% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 11 / 15 | too few to rate | 70.7% | 93 / 171 | 54.4% | 71.7% |
| To the legs | 8 / 11 | too few to rate | 82.9% | 184 / 223 | 82.5% | 83.3% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Bradley L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Natal L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 97 / 241 | 40.2% | 39.0% | 369 / 1016 | 36.3% | 39.5% |
| In the clinch | 18 / 23 | too few to rate | 68.9% | 58 / 89 | 65.2% | 70.9% |
| On the ground | 3 / 3 | too few to rate | 68.0% | 97 / 131 | 74.0% | 69.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 68 / 198 | 34.3% | 35.6% | 315 / 950 | 33.2% | 37.9% |
| To the body | 20 / 25 | 80.0% | 69.6% | 73 / 117 | 62.4% | 71.3% |
| To the legs | 30 / 44 | 68.2% | 82.1% | 136 / 169 | 80.5% | 82.1% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Natal has more cage time on record.