Paige VanZant vs. Kailin Curran

UFC 5-4-0 vs. 1-6-0
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Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line

Paige VanZant

VS

Kailin Curran

5-4-0
UFC record
1-6-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
32
AgeΔ 3 yrs
35
5'4"
HeightΔ 0"
5'4"
65"
ReachΔ 0"
65"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
72.9
Layoff (months)Δ 31.5 mo
104.4
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Paige VanZant is a submission threat — 0.96 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Kailin Curran is a submission threat — 0.55 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Kailin Curran owns the mat — in control 37% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Strawweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Paige VanZant

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 54
Tier 3 — regional circuit 31

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.88 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 5 finish wins over 13 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Kailin Curran

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 16
Tier 3 — regional circuit 31

Tier-weighted record quality: -0.23 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 1 finish wins over 11 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3153.35/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
3203.89/min · norm 3.77
2472.62/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
3914.75/min · norm 3.94
52.1%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
43.8%norm 44.5%
42.6%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
53.5%norm 54.4%
10.16/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Paige VanZant

Distance 50.1% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 26.9% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 23.0% (norm 5.0%)

Kailin Curran

Distance 74.5% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 17.7% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 7.8% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Paige VanZant

Head 68.4% (norm 76.4%) · Body 22.1% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 9.1%)

Kailin Curran

Head 79.0% (norm 76.4%) · Body 14.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 6.0% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone VanZant L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Curran L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 109 / 303 36.0% 38.3% 204 / 544 37.5% 38.3%
In the clinch 104 / 163 63.8% 72.6% 78 / 129 60.5% 72.6%
On the ground 102 / 139 73.4% 75.0% 38 / 57 66.7% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 197 / 414 47.6% 35.4% 201 / 577 34.8% 35.4%
To the body 79 / 134 59.0% 69.3% 82 / 109 75.2% 69.3%
To the legs 39 / 57 68.4% 77.9% 37 / 44 84.1% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs VanZant L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Curran L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 119 / 243 49.0% 39.7% 242 / 609 39.7% 39.7%
In the clinch 79 / 118 66.9% 71.5% 97 / 155 62.6% 71.5%
On the ground 49 / 69 71.0% 74.4% 52 / 76 68.4% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 157 / 310 50.6% 36.0% 272 / 665 40.9% 36.0%
To the body 70 / 97 72.2% 68.4% 74 / 109 67.9% 68.4%
To the legs 20 / 23 too few to rate 79.1% 45 / 66 68.2% 79.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
833.3% acc · 1.27/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
1157.9% acc · 2.00/15 · norm 1.10
1134.4% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
2461.5% def · norm 64.1%
33:3835.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
30:1336.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
32:575:14 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
18:063:17 per 15 · norm 3:00
60.96/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
30.55/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — VanZant has more cage time on record.

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