Nick Catone vs. Jesse Forbes

UFC 4-4-0 vs. 0-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
4-4-0
UFC record
0-3-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
44
AgeΔ 3 yrs
41
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
6'2"
72"
ReachΔ 3"
75"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
150.2
Layoff (months)Δ 44.1 mo
194.3
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Nick Catone hunts takedowns — 3.71 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Jesse Forbes carries real power — 0.72 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Nick Catone owns the mat — in control 36% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Nick Catone

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.94 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Jesse Forbes

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 03
Tier 3 — regional circuit 152

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.73 · 0 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.3 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1962.11/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
442.11/min · norm 3.25
2162.32/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
683.26/min · norm 3.20
44.6%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
23.2%norm 47.4%
63.2%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
56.7%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
10.72/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nick Catone

Distance 64.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 17.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 18.9% (norm 10.3%)

Jesse Forbes

Distance 80.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 18.4% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 1.6% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nick Catone

Head 79.5% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.9% (norm 8.4%)

Jesse Forbes

Head 86.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 1.1% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Catone L/AAccMiddleweight med Forbes L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 82 / 281 29.2% 40.5% 24 / 152 15.8% 40.5%
In the clinch 47 / 75 62.7% 70.3% 19 / 35 54.3% 70.3%
On the ground 67 / 83 80.7% 69.1% 1 / 3 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 125 / 349 35.8% 38.9% 25 / 164 15.2% 38.9%
To the body 35 / 51 68.6% 71.7% 17 / 24 too few to rate 71.7%
To the legs 36 / 39 92.3% 83.3% 2 / 2 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Catone L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Forbes L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 126 / 461 27.3% 39.5% 31 / 101 30.7% 39.5%
In the clinch 66 / 92 71.7% 70.9% 28 / 43 65.1% 70.9%
On the ground 24 / 34 70.6% 69.0% 9 / 13 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 120 / 467 25.7% 37.9% 48 / 134 35.8% 37.9%
To the body 48 / 67 71.6% 71.3% 10 / 12 too few to rate 71.3%
To the legs 48 / 53 90.6% 82.1% 10 / 11 too few to rate 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2344.2% acc · 3.71/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
150.0% acc · 0.72/15 · norm 1.42
2083.3% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
770.0% def · norm 63.1%
33:4236.3% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
1:428.1% of cage time · norm 19.75%
8:501:25 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
4:333:16 per 15 · norm 3:00
30.48/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
10.72/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Catone has more cage time on record.