Nate Diaz vs. Alvin Robinson

UFC 16-11-0 vs. 1-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
16-11-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
41
AgeΔ 3 yrs
44
6'0"
HeightΔ 3"
5'9"
76"
ReachΔ 8"
68"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
46.9
Layoff (months)Δ 165.8 mo
212.7
WLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Alvin Robinson is a submission threat — 1.24 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Nate Diaz is a submission threat — 1.16 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Alvin Robinson is hard to hit — absorbs 1.29 sig. strikes per minute, vs a 3.37 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Nate Diaz

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1611
Tier 3 — regional circuit 53

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 35 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Alvin Robinson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 14
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 11
Tier 3 — regional circuit 134

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.3 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15444.58/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
571.57/min · norm 3.42
13484.00/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
471.29/min · norm 3.37
44.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
50.4%norm 43.5%
52.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
51.0%norm 56.3%
40.18/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nate Diaz

Distance 83.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 13.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.0%)

Alvin Robinson

Distance 31.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 8.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 60.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nate Diaz

Head 83.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.1% (norm 7.9%)

Alvin Robinson

Head 95.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 2.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.8% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Diaz L/AAccLightweight med Robinson L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1132 / 2883 39.3% 37.9% 13 / 35 37.1% 37.9%
In the clinch 342 / 477 71.7% 67.3% 5 / 10 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 70 / 104 67.3% 69.1% 39 / 68 57.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 1146 / 2891 39.6% 35.0% 53 / 108 49.1% 35.0%
To the body 263 / 397 66.2% 69.1% 3 / 3 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 135 / 176 76.7% 81.9% 1 / 2 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Diaz L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Robinson L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 874 / 2115 41.3% 38.9% 4 / 18 too few to rate 38.9%
In the clinch 217 / 324 67.0% 68.6% 3 / 3 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 257 / 420 61.2% 68.0% 40 / 75 53.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 772 / 2096 36.8% 35.1% 37 / 85 43.5% 35.1%
To the body 246 / 365 67.4% 68.1% 8 / 8 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 330 / 398 82.9% 81.5% 2 / 3 too few to rate 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1826.5% acc · 0.80/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
350.0% acc · 1.24/15 · norm 1.38
4343.9% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
225.0% def · norm 64.0%
47:1814.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
11:0930.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
97:414:20 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
22:439:21 per 15 · norm 2:46
261.16/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
31.24/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Diaz has more cage time on record.