Melvin Guillard vs. Gabe Ruediger

UFC 12-9-0 (1 NC) vs. 0-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
12-9-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
0-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
43
AgeΔ 5 yrs
48
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
71"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
149
Layoff (months)Δ 37 mo
186
LNCWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Melvin Guillard carries real power — 1.33 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Opponents land 56% of their head shots on Gabe Ruediger, vs a 35% Lightweight norm — a hole in the guard.
Gabe Ruediger's takedown defense leaks — 29% stopped, vs a 64% Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Melvin Guillard

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1213
Tier 3 — regional circuit 2111

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.38 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 24 finish wins over 62 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Gabe Ruediger

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 13
Tier 3 — regional circuit 175

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.5 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4483.06/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
251.70/min · norm 3.42
2671.83/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
765.16/min · norm 3.37
39.7%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
31.3%norm 43.5%
68.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
41.1%norm 56.3%
131.33/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Melvin Guillard

Distance 79.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 12.1% (norm 8.0%)

Gabe Ruediger

Distance 70.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 23.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Melvin Guillard

Head 82.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 7.9%)

Gabe Ruediger

Head 81.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.5% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Guillard L/AAccLightweight med Ruediger L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 312 / 896 34.8% 37.9% 12 / 56 21.4% 37.9%
In the clinch 58 / 96 60.4% 67.3% 9 / 19 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 78 / 136 57.4% 69.1% 4 / 5 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 300 / 928 32.3% 35.0% 16 / 65 24.6% 35.0%
To the body 90 / 134 67.2% 69.1% 7 / 9 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 58 / 66 87.9% 81.9% 2 / 6 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Guillard L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Ruediger L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 219 / 732 29.9% 38.9% 38 / 70 54.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 36 / 75 48.0% 68.6% 13 / 20 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 12 / 31 38.7% 68.0% 25 / 39 64.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 123 / 604 20.4% 35.1% 65 / 116 56.0% 35.1%
To the body 59 / 111 53.2% 68.1% 7 / 8 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 85 / 123 69.1% 81.5% 4 / 5 too few to rate 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1466.7% acc · 1.44/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
211.1% acc · 2.04/15 · norm 1.38
5865.2% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
228.6% def · norm 64.0%
12:558.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
3:1722.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
34:063:29 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
6:056:11 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.21/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Guillard has more cage time on record.