Melvin Guillard vs. Donald Cerrone
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Melvin Guillard
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 12 | 13 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 21 | 11 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.38 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 24 finish wins over 62 documented bouts
In the UFC: 4-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500
Donald Cerrone
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 23 | 14 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 13 | 3 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.09 · 23 tier-1/2 wins · 27 finish wins over 55 documented bouts
In the UFC: 20-13 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Melvin Guillard
Distance 79.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 12.1% (norm 8.0%)
Donald Cerrone
Distance 89.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.2% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Melvin Guillard
Head 82.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 7.9%)
Donald Cerrone
Head 71.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.8% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Guillard L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Cerrone L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 312 / 896 | 34.8% | 37.9% | 1478 / 3290 | 44.9% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 58 / 96 | 60.4% | 67.3% | 151 / 229 | 65.9% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 78 / 136 | 57.4% | 69.1% | 119 / 172 | 69.2% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 300 / 928 | 32.3% | 35.0% | 893 / 2630 | 34.0% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 90 / 134 | 67.2% | 69.1% | 442 / 589 | 75.0% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 58 / 66 | 87.9% | 81.9% | 413 / 472 | 87.5% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Guillard L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Cerrone L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 219 / 732 | 29.9% | 38.9% | 1558 / 3375 | 46.2% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 36 / 75 | 48.0% | 68.6% | 211 / 305 | 69.2% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 12 / 31 | 38.7% | 68.0% | 56 / 88 | 63.6% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 123 / 604 | 20.4% | 35.1% | 1069 / 2721 | 39.3% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 59 / 111 | 53.2% | 68.1% | 444 / 668 | 66.5% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 85 / 123 | 69.1% | 81.5% | 312 / 379 | 82.3% | 81.5% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cerrone has more cage time on record.