Matt Sayles vs. Kyle Nelson

UFC 1-3-0 vs. 5-6-1

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
1-3-0
UFC record
5-6-1
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
32
AgeΔ 3 yrs
35
5'7"
HeightΔ 4"
5'11"
68"
ReachΔ 3"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
55.7
Layoff (months)Δ 51.3 mo
4.4
LLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Matt Sayles rarely shoots — 0.38 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Matt Sayles is a submission threat — 0.76 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Kyle Nelson absorbs 4.58 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.47 Featherweight norm — hittable.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Matt Sayles

Full career not yet synced for Matt Sayles — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Kyle Nelson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 56
Tier 3 — regional circuit 121

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.79 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1674.21/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
4133.60/min · norm 3.54
1142.87/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
5254.58/min · norm 3.47
39.8%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
45.8%norm 45.0%
61.0%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
53.8%norm 54.85%
00.00/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
10.13/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Matt Sayles

Distance 86.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 4.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 9.3% (norm 6.5%)

Kyle Nelson

Distance 88.2% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 9.5% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Matt Sayles

Head 75.0% (norm 77.4%) · Body 14.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 10.5% (norm 7.8%)

Kyle Nelson

Head 73.9% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.6% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Sayles L/AAccFeatherweight med Nelson L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 128 / 361 35.5% 40.9% 346 / 796 43.5% 40.9%
In the clinch 13 / 20 too few to rate 70.8% 54 / 86 62.8% 70.8%
On the ground 26 / 39 66.7% 69.2% 13 / 20 too few to rate 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 88 / 315 27.9% 37.2% 231 / 667 34.6% 37.2%
To the body 46 / 61 75.4% 68.2% 108 / 150 72.0% 68.2%
To the legs 33 / 44 75.0% 80.7% 74 / 85 87.1% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Sayles L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Nelson L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 96 / 266 36.1% 39.2% 382 / 916 41.7% 39.2%
In the clinch 12 / 19 too few to rate 70.3% 43 / 58 74.1% 70.3%
On the ground 6 / 7 too few to rate 69.4% 100 / 163 61.3% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 58 / 213 27.2% 35.9% 300 / 862 34.8% 35.9%
To the body 50 / 71 70.4% 67.9% 125 / 157 79.6% 67.9%
To the legs 6 / 8 too few to rate 81.5% 100 / 118 84.7% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
125.0% acc · 0.38/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
923.1% acc · 1.18/15 · norm 1.19
1781.0% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
1266.7% def · norm 61.5%
5:0913.0% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
23:3120.5% of cage time · norm 16.7%
10:374:00 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
26:173:26 per 15 · norm 3:12
20.76/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
40.52/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Nelson has more cage time on record.