Matt Hamill vs. Jesse Forbes
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Matt Hamill
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 9 | 5 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 4 | 3 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.8 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 21 documented bouts
In the UFC: 3-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500
Jesse Forbes
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 0 | 3 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 15 | 2 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.73 · 0 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 20 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.3 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Matt Hamill
Distance 80.4% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 6.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 10.4%)
Jesse Forbes
Distance 80.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 18.4% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 1.6% (norm 10.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Matt Hamill
Head 89.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 2.5% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 8.2% (norm 9.7%)
Jesse Forbes
Head 86.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 1.1% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Hamill L/A | Acc | Light Heavyweight med | Forbes L/A | Acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 388 / 1082 | 35.9% | 41.4% | 24 / 152 | 15.8% | 40.5% |
| In the clinch | 55 / 90 | 61.1% | 70.9% | 19 / 35 | 54.3% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 128 / 174 | 73.6% | 72.3% | 1 / 3 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 467 / 1201 | 38.9% | 38.9% | 25 / 164 | 15.2% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 23 / 34 | 67.6% | 71.9% | 17 / 24 | too few to rate | 71.7% |
| To the legs | 81 / 111 | 73.0% | 81.8% | 2 / 2 | too few to rate | 83.3% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Hamill L/A | Opp acc | Light Heavyweight med | vs Forbes L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 463 / 1299 | 35.6% | 40.4% | 31 / 101 | 30.7% | 39.5% |
| In the clinch | 69 / 128 | 53.9% | 68.7% | 28 / 43 | 65.1% | 70.9% |
| On the ground | 57 / 99 | 57.6% | 70.4% | 9 / 13 | too few to rate | 69.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 343 / 1209 | 28.4% | 37.5% | 48 / 134 | 35.8% | 37.9% |
| To the body | 110 / 155 | 71.0% | 72.3% | 10 / 12 | too few to rate | 71.3% |
| To the legs | 136 / 162 | 84.0% | 83.0% | 10 / 11 | too few to rate | 82.1% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Hamill has more cage time on record.