Marcus Aurelio vs. Luke Caudillo
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Marcus Aurelio
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 2 | 4 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 20 | 6 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.73 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 32 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500
Luke Caudillo
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 0 | 2 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 17 | 15 |
Tier-weighted record quality: -0.3 · 0 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 34 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Marcus Aurelio
Distance 88.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.1% (norm 8.0%)
Luke Caudillo
Distance 93.6% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Marcus Aurelio
Head 94.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 3.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.7% (norm 7.9%)
Luke Caudillo
Head 87.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.3% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Aurelio L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Caudillo L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 117 / 405 | 28.9% | 37.9% | 29 / 132 | 22.0% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 15 / 26 | 57.7% | 67.3% | 5 / 9 | too few to rate | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 21 / 28 | 75.0% | 69.1% | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 131 / 435 | 30.1% | 35.0% | 22 / 123 | 17.9% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 14 / 16 | too few to rate | 69.1% | 8 / 12 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 8 / 8 | too few to rate | 81.9% | 4 / 6 | too few to rate | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Aurelio L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Caudillo L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 212 / 569 | 37.3% | 38.9% | 70 / 188 | 37.2% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 16 / 28 | 57.1% | 68.6% | 8 / 11 | too few to rate | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 32 / 56 | 57.1% | 68.0% | 12 / 13 | too few to rate | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 153 / 497 | 30.8% | 35.1% | 75 / 193 | 38.9% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 36 / 64 | 56.2% | 68.1% | 8 / 12 | too few to rate | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 71 / 92 | 77.2% | 81.5% | 7 / 7 | too few to rate | 81.5% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Aurelio has more cage time on record.