Lauren Mueller vs. Poliana Botelho

UFC 1-3-0 vs. 3-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
1-3-0
UFC record
3-4-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
34
AgeΔ 3 yrs
37
5'5"
HeightΔ 3"
5'8"
67"
ReachΔ 0"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
81.9
Layoff (months)Δ 31.8 mo
50.1
LLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Poliana Botelho carries real power — 0.21 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.09 Women's Flyweight norm.
Poliana Botelho is accurate with head shots — lands 48%, vs a 35% Women's Flyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Lauren Mueller

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 23
Tier 3 — regional circuit 31

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.42 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 1 finish wins over 9 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Poliana Botelho

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 34
Tier 3 — regional circuit 61

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.73 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1763.59/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
2042.90/min · norm 3.91
2074.22/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
1972.80/min · norm 3.81
38.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
58.6%norm 44.9%
57.4%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
54.2%norm 55.95%
00.00/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
10.21/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Lauren Mueller

Distance 94.4% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 4.1% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 1.5% (norm 4.9%)

Poliana Botelho

Distance 69.0% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 24.4% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 6.6% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Lauren Mueller

Head 76.6% (norm 78.1%) · Body 16.7% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 6.7% (norm 7.7%)

Poliana Botelho

Head 62.4% (norm 78.1%) · Body 25.6% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 12.1% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Mueller L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Botelho L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 160 / 436 36.7% 39.9% 112 / 240 46.7% 39.9%
In the clinch 14 / 19 too few to rate 73.3% 70 / 85 82.4% 73.3%
On the ground 2 / 7 too few to rate 74.7% 22 / 23 too few to rate 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 102 / 354 28.8% 34.9% 104 / 217 47.9% 34.9%
To the body 46 / 77 59.7% 69.5% 63 / 89 70.8% 69.5%
To the legs 28 / 31 90.3% 82.6% 37 / 42 88.1% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Mueller L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Botelho L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 180 / 451 39.9% 38.8% 107 / 311 34.4% 38.8%
In the clinch 21 / 29 72.4% 74.1% 24 / 28 85.7% 74.1%
On the ground 6 / 6 too few to rate 73.4% 66 / 91 72.5% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 120 / 367 32.7% 35.3% 97 / 278 34.9% 35.3%
To the body 48 / 73 65.8% 69.0% 50 / 73 68.5% 69.0%
To the legs 39 / 46 84.8% 78.7% 50 / 79 63.3% 78.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
375.0% acc · 0.92/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
457.1% acc · 0.85/15 · norm 1.02
555.6% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
2076.9% def · norm 58.95%
6:3313.4% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
13:4719.6% of cage time · norm 19.15%
10:403:15 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
30:446:33 per 15 · norm 3:03
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Botelho has more cage time on record.