King Green vs. Tony Ferguson

UFC 17-12-1 (1 NC) vs. 15-9-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
17-12-1 (1 NC)
UFC record
15-9-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
39
AgeΔ 3 yrs
42
5'10"
HeightΔ 1"
5'11"
71"
ReachΔ 5"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
0.9
Layoff (months)Δ 23.2 mo
24.1
WWWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
King Green outworks the Lightweight division — 6.59 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.42 norm.
Tony Ferguson is a submission threat — 0.88 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Tony Ferguson rarely shoots — 0.39 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

King Green

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1712
Tier 3 — regional circuit 175

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.85 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 53 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Tony Ferguson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 159
Tier 3 — regional circuit 102

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.17 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

21246.59/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
13324.91/min · norm 3.42
11923.70/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
11864.37/min · norm 3.37
53.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
45.9%norm 43.5%
61.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
55.4%norm 56.3%
70.33/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
30.17/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

King Green

Distance 87.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.4% (norm 8.0%)

Tony Ferguson

Distance 94.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

King Green

Head 70.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 18.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.1% (norm 7.9%)

Tony Ferguson

Head 75.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Green L/AAccLightweight med Ferguson L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1723 / 3459 49.8% 37.9% 1210 / 2738 44.2% 37.9%
In the clinch 179 / 209 85.6% 67.3% 31 / 49 63.3% 67.3%
On the ground 222 / 293 75.8% 69.1% 91 / 118 77.1% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 1241 / 2792 44.4% 35.0% 800 / 2182 36.7% 35.0%
To the body 530 / 729 72.7% 69.1% 259 / 393 65.9% 69.1%
To the legs 353 / 440 80.2% 81.9% 273 / 330 82.7% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Green L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Ferguson L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1029 / 2854 36.1% 38.9% 1028 / 2394 42.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 73 / 125 58.4% 68.6% 15 / 48 31.2% 68.6%
On the ground 90 / 132 68.2% 68.0% 143 / 216 66.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 716 / 2346 30.5% 35.1% 790 / 2103 37.6% 35.1%
To the body 238 / 426 55.9% 68.1% 225 / 356 63.2% 68.1%
To the legs 238 / 339 70.2% 81.5% 171 / 199 85.9% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2745.8% acc · 1.26/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
735.0% acc · 0.39/15 · norm 1.38
5269.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
3966.1% def · norm 64.0%
46:1114.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
8:002.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
29:071:21 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
63:463:31 per 15 · norm 2:46
60.28/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
160.88/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Green has more cage time on record.