King Green vs. Lance Gibson Jr.

UFC 17-12-1 (1 NC) vs. 1-1-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
17-12-1 (1 NC)
UFC record
1-1-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
39
AgeΔ 8 yrs
31
5'10"
Height
71"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
0.9
Layoff (months)Δ 3.5 mo
4.4
WWWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Lance Gibson Jr. carries real power — 0.84 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
King Green outworks the Lightweight division — 6.59 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.42 norm.
King Green carries real power — 0.33 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

King Green

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1712
Tier 3 — regional circuit 175

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.85 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 53 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Lance Gibson Jr.

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 11
Tier 3 — regional circuit 34

Tier-weighted record quality: -0.33 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 2 finish wins over 9 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

21246.59/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
432.40/min · norm 3.42
11923.70/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
764.24/min · norm 3.37
53.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
45.7%norm 43.5%
61.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
56.1%norm 56.3%
70.33/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.84/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

King Green

Distance 87.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.4% (norm 8.0%)

Lance Gibson Jr.

Distance 85.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 14.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

King Green

Head 70.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 18.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.1% (norm 7.9%)

Lance Gibson Jr.

Head 55.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 18.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 26.6% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Green L/AAccLightweight med Jr. L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1723 / 3459 49.8% 37.9% 34 / 80 42.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 179 / 209 85.6% 67.3% 9 / 14 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 222 / 293 75.8% 69.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 1241 / 2792 44.4% 35.0% 15 / 52 28.8% 35.0%
To the body 530 / 729 72.7% 69.1% 10 / 17 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 353 / 440 80.2% 81.9% 18 / 25 72.0% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Green L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Jr. L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1029 / 2854 36.1% 38.9% 67 / 160 41.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 73 / 125 58.4% 68.6% 1 / 2 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 90 / 132 68.2% 68.0% 8 / 11 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 716 / 2346 30.5% 35.1% 28 / 95 29.5% 35.1%
To the body 238 / 426 55.9% 68.1% 29 / 48 60.4% 68.1%
To the legs 238 / 339 70.2% 81.5% 19 / 30 63.3% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2745.8% acc · 1.26/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
266.7% acc · 1.67/15 · norm 1.38
5269.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
375.0% def · norm 64.0%
46:1114.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
1:177.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
29:071:21 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
0:500:41 per 15 · norm 2:46
60.28/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Green has more cage time on record.