Kevin Lee vs. Magomed Mustafaev
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Kevin Lee
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 11 | 9 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 9 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.06 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 29 documented bouts
In the UFC: 8-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500
Magomed Mustafaev
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 3 | 2 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 8 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.14 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 14 documented bouts
In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Kevin Lee
Distance 77.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 18.0% (norm 8.0%)
Magomed Mustafaev
Distance 63.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 22.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 14.4% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Kevin Lee
Head 87.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.2% (norm 7.9%)
Magomed Mustafaev
Head 68.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.2% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Lee L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Mustafaev L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 500 / 1537 | 32.5% | 37.9% | 48 / 101 | 47.5% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 73 / 98 | 74.5% | 67.3% | 24 / 36 | 66.7% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 270 / 360 | 75.0% | 69.1% | 22 / 23 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 653 / 1746 | 37.4% | 35.0% | 54 / 109 | 49.5% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 166 / 225 | 73.8% | 69.1% | 23 / 33 | 69.7% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 24 / 24 | too few to rate | 81.9% | 17 / 18 | too few to rate | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Lee L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Mustafaev L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 650 / 1405 | 46.3% | 38.9% | 44 / 90 | 48.9% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 64 / 84 | 76.2% | 68.6% | 20 / 30 | 66.7% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 67 / 83 | 80.7% | 68.0% | 33 / 45 | 73.3% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 514 / 1235 | 41.6% | 35.1% | 53 / 109 | 48.6% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 146 / 202 | 72.3% | 68.1% | 28 / 38 | 73.7% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 121 / 135 | 89.6% | 81.5% | 16 / 18 | too few to rate | 81.5% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lee has more cage time on record.