Justin Scoggins vs. John Moraga
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Justin Scoggins
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 5 | 6 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 4 | 0 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 7 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.91 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 23 documented bouts
In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500
John Moraga
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 8 | 6 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 11 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.08 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 26 documented bouts
In the UFC: 5-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Justin Scoggins
Distance 75.9% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 6.6% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 17.4% (norm 7.3%)
John Moraga
Distance 77.3% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 11.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 11.4% (norm 7.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Justin Scoggins
Head 74.4% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.3% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 8.4% (norm 9.3%)
John Moraga
Head 72.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.1% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 10.7% (norm 9.3%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Scoggins L/A | Acc | Flyweight med | Moraga L/A | Acc | Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 222 / 527 | 42.1% | 40.0% | 254 / 769 | 33.0% | 40.0% |
| In the clinch | 38 / 46 | 82.6% | 70.4% | 82 / 113 | 72.6% | 70.4% |
| On the ground | 99 / 121 | 81.8% | 69.7% | 97 / 113 | 85.8% | 69.7% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 236 / 516 | 45.7% | 37.6% | 242 / 719 | 33.7% | 37.6% |
| To the body | 74 / 120 | 61.7% | 68.5% | 109 / 170 | 64.1% | 68.5% |
| To the legs | 49 / 58 | 84.5% | 80.0% | 82 / 106 | 77.4% | 80.0% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Scoggins L/A | Opp acc | Flyweight med | vs Moraga L/A | Opp acc | Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 144 / 390 | 36.9% | 40.1% | 278 / 778 | 35.7% | 40.1% |
| In the clinch | 42 / 57 | 73.7% | 68.8% | 52 / 81 | 64.2% | 68.8% |
| On the ground | 32 / 45 | 71.1% | 71.1% | 99 / 126 | 78.6% | 71.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 119 / 338 | 35.2% | 35.2% | 220 / 707 | 31.1% | 35.2% |
| To the body | 58 / 89 | 65.2% | 68.2% | 99 / 147 | 67.3% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 41 / 65 | 63.1% | 80.3% | 110 / 131 | 84.0% | 80.3% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Moraga has more cage time on record.