Junior Assuncao vs. Nate Diaz

UFC 2-3-0 vs. 16-11-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-3-0
UFC record
16-11-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
45
AgeΔ 4 yrs
41
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
6'0"
72"
ReachΔ 4"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
175.3
Layoff (months)Δ 128.4 mo
46.9
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Nate Diaz is a submission threat — 1.16 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Junior Assuncao owns the mat — in control 46% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Junior Assuncao hunts takedowns — 2.43 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Junior Assuncao

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 23
Tier 3 — regional circuit 144

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.63 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Nate Diaz

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1611
Tier 3 — regional circuit 53

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 35 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1433.31/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
15444.58/min · norm 3.42
892.06/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
13484.00/min · norm 3.37
62.7%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
44.6%norm 43.5%
44.0%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
52.9%norm 56.3%
10.35/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
40.18/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Junior Assuncao

Distance 51.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 20.2% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 28.1% (norm 8.0%)

Nate Diaz

Distance 83.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 13.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Junior Assuncao

Head 72.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.4% (norm 7.9%)

Nate Diaz

Head 83.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.1% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Assuncao L/AAccLightweight med Diaz L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 61 / 118 51.7% 37.9% 1132 / 2883 39.3% 37.9%
In the clinch 30 / 46 65.2% 67.3% 342 / 477 71.7% 67.3%
On the ground 52 / 64 81.2% 69.1% 70 / 104 67.3% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 96 / 166 57.8% 35.0% 1146 / 2891 39.6% 35.0%
To the body 29 / 36 80.6% 69.1% 263 / 397 66.2% 69.1%
To the legs 18 / 26 69.2% 81.9% 135 / 176 76.7% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Assuncao L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Diaz L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 54 / 109 49.5% 38.9% 874 / 2115 41.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 30 / 41 73.2% 68.6% 217 / 324 67.0% 68.6%
On the ground 5 / 9 too few to rate 68.0% 257 / 420 61.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 51 / 107 47.7% 35.1% 772 / 2096 36.8% 35.1%
To the body 23 / 33 69.7% 68.1% 246 / 365 67.4% 68.1%
To the legs 15 / 19 too few to rate 81.5% 330 / 398 82.9% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
724.1% acc · 2.43/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1826.5% acc · 0.80/15 · norm 1.38
666.7% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
4343.9% def · norm 64.0%
19:5346.1% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
47:1814.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
6:012:05 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
97:414:20 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.70/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
261.16/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Diaz has more cage time on record.