Joshua Burkman vs. Drew Dober

UFC 6-12-0 (1 NC) vs. 15-11-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
6-12-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
15-11-0 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
46
AgeΔ 9 yrs
37
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
72"
ReachΔ 2"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
101.6
Layoff (months)Δ 96.5 mo
5.1
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Drew Dober carries real power — 0.68 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Joshua Burkman hunts takedowns — 2.53 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Drew Dober rarely shoots — 0.61 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Joshua Burkman

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 612
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 225

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.41 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 47 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Drew Dober

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1611
Tier 3 — regional circuit 134

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5432.69/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
9944.48/min · norm 3.42
6323.13/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
9604.33/min · norm 3.37
43.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
41.0%norm 43.5%
51.9%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
53.1%norm 56.3%
20.15/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
100.68/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Joshua Burkman

Distance 78.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 15.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.0% (norm 8.1%)

Drew Dober

Distance 87.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Joshua Burkman

Head 69.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 19.0% (norm 8.4%)

Drew Dober

Head 79.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Burkman L/AAccWelterweight med Dober L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 364 / 977 37.3% 38.6% 790 / 2128 37.1% 37.9%
In the clinch 125 / 193 64.8% 67.8% 111 / 170 65.3% 67.3%
On the ground 54 / 75 72.0% 67.2% 93 / 125 74.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 259 / 863 30.0% 37.2% 628 / 1922 32.7% 35.0%
To the body 91 / 146 62.3% 70.7% 225 / 326 69.0% 69.1%
To the legs 193 / 236 81.8% 82.9% 141 / 175 80.6% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Burkman L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Dober L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 402 / 996 40.4% 39.0% 771 / 1793 43.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 160 / 232 69.0% 68.9% 87 / 121 71.9% 68.6%
On the ground 70 / 87 80.5% 68.0% 102 / 132 77.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 396 / 1002 39.5% 35.6% 681 / 1668 40.8% 35.1%
To the body 130 / 184 70.7% 69.6% 197 / 279 70.6% 68.1%
To the legs 106 / 129 82.2% 82.1% 82 / 99 82.8% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
3437.0% acc · 2.53/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
917.0% acc · 0.61/15 · norm 1.38
3772.5% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
3958.2% def · norm 64.0%
51:0125.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
29:1913.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
34:232:33 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
49:013:18 per 15 · norm 2:46
40.30/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
10.07/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dober has more cage time on record.