Jordan Rinaldi vs. Alvaro Herrera Mendoza

UFC 2-3-0 vs. 1-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-3-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
38
AgeΔ 2 yrs
36
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
72"
ReachΔ 2"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
88.8
Layoff (months)Δ 7.6 mo
96.4
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Alvaro Herrera Mendoza carries real power — 1.13 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Jordan Rinaldi is a submission threat — 1.16 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Alvaro Herrera Mendoza is a submission threat — 1.13 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Jordan Rinaldi

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 23
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 114

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.57 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Alvaro Herrera Mendoza

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 13
Tier 3 — regional circuit 84

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.07 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

811.56/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
251.89/min · norm 3.42
1202.32/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
453.40/min · norm 3.37
35.2%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
38.5%norm 43.5%
59.3%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
55.0%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
11.13/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jordan Rinaldi

Distance 88.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.0% (norm 8.0%)

Alvaro Herrera Mendoza

Distance 92.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jordan Rinaldi

Head 68.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 19.6% (norm 7.9%)

Alvaro Herrera Mendoza

Head 86.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.5% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rinaldi L/AAccLightweight med Mendoza L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 68 / 203 33.5% 37.9% 20 / 60 33.3% 37.9%
In the clinch 1 / 4 too few to rate 67.3% 3 / 3 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 12 / 23 too few to rate 69.1% 2 / 2 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 39 / 158 24.7% 35.0% 17 / 56 30.4% 35.0%
To the body 11 / 27 40.7% 69.1% 7 / 8 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 31 / 45 68.9% 81.9% 1 / 1 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rinaldi L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Mendoza L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 75 / 227 33.0% 38.9% 31 / 75 41.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 8 / 14 too few to rate 68.6% 2 / 3 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 37 / 54 68.5% 68.0% 12 / 22 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 92 / 253 36.4% 35.1% 20 / 60 33.3% 35.1%
To the body 21 / 29 72.4% 68.1% 8 / 17 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 7 / 13 too few to rate 81.5% 17 / 23 too few to rate 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
535.7% acc · 1.45/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
120.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
233.3% def · norm 64.0%
15:5930.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
0:111.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
8:582:35 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
6:066:54 per 15 · norm 2:46
41.16/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
11.13/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rinaldi has more cage time on record.