Jeremy Stephens vs. Danny Downes

UFC 15-20-0 (1 NC) vs. 0-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
15-20-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
0-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
40
AgeΔ 0 yrs
40
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
6'0"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3
Layoff (months)Δ 174.3 mo
177.3
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Jeremy Stephens carries real power — 0.66 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Danny Downes rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Opponents land 64% of their head shots on Danny Downes, vs a 35% Lightweight norm — a hole in the guard.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Jeremy Stephens

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1622
Tier 3 — regional circuit 131

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 21 finish wins over 53 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-17 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Danny Downes

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 02
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.66 · 0 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 11 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12813.13/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
381.27/min · norm 3.42
13273.25/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1143.80/min · norm 3.37
40.8%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
33.0%norm 43.5%
57.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
30.9%norm 56.3%
180.66/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jeremy Stephens

Distance 84.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 8.0%)

Danny Downes

Distance 83.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 16.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jeremy Stephens

Head 77.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.1% (norm 7.9%)

Danny Downes

Head 70.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.7% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Stephens L/AAccLightweight med Downes L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 942 / 2637 35.7% 37.9% 22 / 96 22.9% 37.9%
In the clinch 126 / 175 72.0% 67.3% 16 / 19 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 213 / 326 65.3% 69.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 752 / 2420 31.1% 35.0% 13 / 81 16.0% 35.0%
To the body 222 / 307 72.3% 69.1% 18 / 24 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 307 / 411 74.7% 81.9% 7 / 10 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Stephens L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Downes L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1035 / 2709 38.2% 38.9% 51 / 90 56.7% 38.9%
In the clinch 113 / 165 68.5% 68.6% 23 / 26 88.5% 68.6%
On the ground 179 / 278 64.4% 68.0% 40 / 49 81.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 812 / 2468 32.9% 35.1% 89 / 138 64.5% 35.1%
To the body 238 / 349 68.2% 68.1% 14 / 16 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 277 / 335 82.7% 81.5% 11 / 11 too few to rate 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
3038.5% acc · 1.10/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
7861.9% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
836.4% def · norm 64.0%
71:3117.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
0:593.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
91:283:21 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
21:0010:30 per 15 · norm 2:46
110.40/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
10.50/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Stephens has more cage time on record.