Jennifer Maia vs. Roxanne Modafferi

UFC 6-6-0 vs. 4-8-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
6-6-0
UFC record
4-8-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
37
AgeΔ 6 yrs
43
5'4"
HeightΔ 3"
5'7"
64"
ReachΔ 5"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
33.8
Layoff (months)Δ 20 mo
53.8
LWWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Jennifer Maia rarely shoots — 0.42 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Roxanne Modafferi absorbs 5.72 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.81 Women's Flyweight norm — hittable.
Roxanne Modafferi's takedown defense leaks — 30% stopped, vs a 59% Women's Flyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Jennifer Maia

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 66
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 173

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.71 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 34 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Roxanne Modafferi

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 48
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 2111

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.22 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7814.35/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
6223.39/min · norm 3.91
8114.52/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
10495.72/min · norm 3.81
38.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
30.3%norm 44.9%
55.7%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
52.3%norm 55.95%
00.00/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
10.08/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jennifer Maia

Distance 92.2% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 7.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 0.5% (norm 4.9%)

Roxanne Modafferi

Distance 93.4% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 2.6% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 3.9% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jennifer Maia

Head 86.5% (norm 78.1%) · Body 7.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 7.7%)

Roxanne Modafferi

Head 92.2% (norm 78.1%) · Body 5.5% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 2.3% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Maia L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Modafferi L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 664 / 1864 35.6% 39.9% 532 / 1920 27.7% 39.9%
In the clinch 111 / 147 75.5% 73.3% 35 / 54 64.8% 73.3%
On the ground 6 / 11 too few to rate 74.7% 55 / 81 67.9% 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 565 / 1749 32.3% 34.9% 523 / 1894 27.6% 34.9%
To the body 110 / 157 70.1% 69.5% 62 / 114 54.4% 69.5%
To the legs 106 / 116 91.4% 82.6% 37 / 47 78.7% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Maia L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Modafferi L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 727 / 1727 42.1% 38.8% 906 / 1995 45.4% 38.8%
In the clinch 52 / 70 74.3% 74.1% 72 / 94 76.6% 74.1%
On the ground 32 / 34 94.1% 73.4% 71 / 109 65.1% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 488 / 1428 34.2% 35.3% 799 / 1888 42.3% 35.3%
To the body 189 / 249 75.9% 69.0% 126 / 181 69.6% 69.0%
To the legs 134 / 154 87.0% 78.7% 124 / 129 96.1% 78.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
527.8% acc · 0.42/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
1627.6% acc · 1.31/15 · norm 1.02
2458.5% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
930.0% def · norm 58.95%
23:5913.4% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
49:3527.0% of cage time · norm 19.15%
40:043:20 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
36:543:00 per 15 · norm 3:03
10.08/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
10.08/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Maia has more cage time on record.