Jason MacDonald vs. Wilson Gouveia
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Jason MacDonald
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 5 | 8 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 20 | 8 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.45 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 41 documented bouts
In the UFC: 3-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500
Wilson Gouveia
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 6 | 4 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 9 | 4 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.77 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 23 documented bouts
In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Jason MacDonald
Distance 43.5% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 30.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 25.6% (norm 10.3%)
Wilson Gouveia
Distance 80.7% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 13.3% (norm 10.4%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Jason MacDonald
Head 63.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 27.2% (norm 8.4%)
Wilson Gouveia
Head 83.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 1.8% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 14.5% (norm 9.7%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | MacDonald L/A | Acc | Middleweight med | Gouveia L/A | Acc | Light Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 24 / 107 | 22.4% | 40.5% | 148 / 406 | 36.5% | 41.4% |
| In the clinch | 61 / 76 | 80.3% | 70.3% | 15 / 30 | 50.0% | 70.9% |
| On the ground | 45 / 63 | 71.4% | 69.1% | 38 / 67 | 56.7% | 72.3% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 50 / 156 | 32.1% | 38.9% | 134 / 421 | 31.8% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 20 / 23 | too few to rate | 71.7% | 8 / 9 | too few to rate | 71.9% |
| To the legs | 60 / 67 | 89.6% | 83.3% | 59 / 73 | 80.8% | 81.8% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs MacDonald L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med | vs Gouveia L/A | Opp acc | Light Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 41 / 118 | 34.7% | 39.5% | 166 / 424 | 39.2% | 40.4% |
| In the clinch | 51 / 75 | 68.0% | 70.9% | 27 / 45 | 60.0% | 68.7% |
| On the ground | 134 / 233 | 57.5% | 69.0% | 77 / 152 | 50.7% | 70.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 191 / 381 | 50.1% | 37.9% | 172 / 507 | 33.9% | 37.5% |
| To the body | 23 / 27 | 85.2% | 71.3% | 39 / 47 | 83.0% | 72.3% |
| To the legs | 12 / 18 | too few to rate | 82.1% | 59 / 67 | 88.1% | 83.0% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — MacDonald has more cage time on record.