Jake Matthews vs. Johnny Case

UFC 16-8-0 vs. 4-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
16-8-0
UFC record
4-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
31
AgeΔ 6 yrs
37
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
73"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2.3
Layoff (months)Δ 107.1 mo
109.4
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Jake Matthews is a submission threat — 0.71 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Johnny Case carries real power — 0.38 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Jake Matthews owns the mat — in control 26% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Jake Matthews

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 168
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.36 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Johnny Case

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 96
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 194

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.95 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 25 finish wins over 41 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9253.36/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3133.95/min · norm 3.42
7102.58/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
2112.66/min · norm 3.37
44.5%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
38.8%norm 43.5%
60.6%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
61.4%norm 56.3%
60.33/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.38/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jake Matthews

Distance 82.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 4.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.1% (norm 8.1%)

Johnny Case

Distance 85.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jake Matthews

Head 82.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.4%)

Johnny Case

Head 76.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Matthews L/AAccWelterweight med Case L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 664 / 1706 38.9% 38.6% 233 / 686 34.0% 37.9%
In the clinch 67 / 100 67.0% 67.8% 19 / 32 59.4% 67.3%
On the ground 194 / 273 71.1% 67.2% 61 / 88 69.3% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 665 / 1718 38.7% 37.2% 187 / 618 30.3% 35.0%
To the body 161 / 239 67.4% 70.7% 69 / 112 61.6% 69.1%
To the legs 99 / 122 81.1% 82.9% 57 / 76 75.0% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Matthews L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Case L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 517 / 1515 34.1% 39.0% 191 / 514 37.2% 38.9%
In the clinch 98 / 140 70.0% 68.9% 12 / 22 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 95 / 147 64.6% 68.0% 8 / 11 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 434 / 1402 31.0% 35.6% 131 / 437 30.0% 35.1%
To the body 124 / 199 62.3% 69.6% 24 / 46 52.2% 68.1%
To the legs 152 / 201 75.6% 82.1% 56 / 64 87.5% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2541.7% acc · 1.36/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
945.0% acc · 1.70/15 · norm 1.38
2866.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1672.7% def · norm 64.0%
72:5326.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
19:1724.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
40:352:12 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
11:172:08 per 15 · norm 2:46
130.71/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
10.19/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Matthews has more cage time on record.