Francisco Trevino vs. Sage Northcutt
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Francisco Trevino
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 1 | 2 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 12 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.87 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 16 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500
Sage Northcutt
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 7 | 3 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 4 | 0 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 1 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.65 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 15 documented bouts
In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Francisco Trevino
Distance 80.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 14.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 8.0%)
Sage Northcutt
Distance 74.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 12.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Francisco Trevino
Head 61.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 24.9% (norm 7.9%)
Sage Northcutt
Head 76.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.8% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Trevino L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Northcutt L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 56 / 156 | 35.9% | 37.9% | 162 / 381 | 42.5% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 20 / 28 | 71.4% | 67.3% | 51 / 63 | 81.0% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 6 / 9 | too few to rate | 69.1% | 54 / 66 | 81.8% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 38 / 118 | 32.2% | 35.0% | 173 / 390 | 44.4% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 11 / 27 | 40.7% | 69.1% | 52 / 70 | 74.3% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 33 / 48 | 68.8% | 81.9% | 42 / 50 | 84.0% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Trevino L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Northcutt L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 43 / 156 | 27.6% | 38.9% | 107 / 296 | 36.1% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 19 / 35 | 54.3% | 68.6% | 6 / 12 | too few to rate | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 13 / 19 | too few to rate | 68.0% | 33 / 48 | 68.8% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 54 / 177 | 30.5% | 35.1% | 87 / 262 | 33.2% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 13 / 23 | too few to rate | 68.1% | 15 / 31 | 48.4% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 8 / 10 | too few to rate | 81.5% | 44 / 63 | 69.8% | 81.5% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Northcutt has more cage time on record.