Evan Dunham vs. Shamar Bailey
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Evan Dunham
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 11 | 9 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 7 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.92 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 28 documented bouts
In the UFC: 7-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500
Shamar Bailey
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 1 | 3 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 0 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 15 | 7 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.1 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 27 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Evan Dunham
Distance 89.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 8.0%)
Shamar Bailey
Distance 91.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Evan Dunham
Head 91.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.9% (norm 7.9%)
Shamar Bailey
Head 82.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.0% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Dunham L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Bailey L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 1024 / 2811 | 36.4% | 37.9% | 53 / 254 | 20.9% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 142 / 218 | 65.1% | 67.3% | 11 / 12 | too few to rate | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 62 / 99 | 62.6% | 69.1% | 7 / 13 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 1039 / 2849 | 36.5% | 35.0% | 43 / 229 | 18.8% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 137 / 221 | 62.0% | 69.1% | 14 / 25 | 56.0% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 52 / 58 | 89.7% | 81.9% | 14 / 25 | 56.0% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Dunham L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Bailey L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 639 / 1840 | 34.7% | 38.9% | 110 / 438 | 25.1% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 122 / 202 | 60.4% | 68.6% | 2 / 5 | too few to rate | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 55 / 87 | 63.2% | 68.0% | 21 / 33 | 63.6% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 557 / 1767 | 31.5% | 35.1% | 121 / 452 | 26.8% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 160 / 232 | 69.0% | 68.1% | 9 / 19 | too few to rate | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 99 / 130 | 76.2% | 81.5% | 3 / 5 | too few to rate | 81.5% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dunham has more cage time on record.