Eric Spicely vs. Antonio Carlos Junior

UFC 2-5-0 vs. 7-5-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-5-0
UFC record
7-5-0 (1 NC)
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
39
AgeΔ 3 yrs
36
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
73"
ReachΔ 6"
79"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
85.5
Layoff (months)Δ 19 mo
66.5
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Antonio Carlos Junior hunts takedowns — 3.42 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Antonio Carlos Junior owns the mat — in control 47% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Eric Spicely is a submission threat — 0.98 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Eric Spicely

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 25
Tier 3 — regional circuit 114

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.27 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Antonio Carlos Junior

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 156
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.52 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1703.71/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
2901.95/min · norm 3.25
2625.72/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
3192.14/min · norm 3.20
45.2%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
42.6%norm 47.4%
55.7%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
52.8%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Eric Spicely

Distance 80.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 12.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 7.7% (norm 10.3%)

Antonio Carlos Junior

Distance 78.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 15.4% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Eric Spicely

Head 91.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 7.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 1.6% (norm 8.4%)

Antonio Carlos Junior

Head 82.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Spicely L/AAccMiddleweight med Junior L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 108 / 302 35.8% 40.5% 187 / 535 35.0% 40.5%
In the clinch 38 / 45 84.4% 70.3% 29 / 41 70.7% 70.3%
On the ground 24 / 29 82.8% 69.1% 74 / 105 70.5% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 143 / 342 41.8% 38.9% 196 / 564 34.8% 38.9%
To the body 21 / 28 75.0% 71.7% 52 / 72 72.2% 71.7%
To the legs 6 / 6 too few to rate 83.3% 42 / 45 93.3% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Spicely L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Junior L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 203 / 505 40.2% 39.5% 146 / 430 34.0% 39.5%
In the clinch 40 / 57 70.2% 70.9% 18 / 26 69.2% 70.9%
On the ground 19 / 29 65.5% 69.0% 155 / 220 70.5% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 198 / 515 38.4% 37.9% 230 / 550 41.8% 37.9%
To the body 58 / 70 82.9% 71.3% 33 / 52 63.5% 71.3%
To the legs 6 / 6 too few to rate 82.1% 56 / 74 75.7% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
420.0% acc · 1.31/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
3439.1% acc · 3.42/15 · norm 1.42
375.0% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
853.3% def · norm 63.1%
8:5019.3% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
70:1447.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
8:532:54 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
26:012:37 per 15 · norm 3:00
30.98/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
80.81/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Junior has more cage time on record.