Drew Dober vs. Scott Holtzman

UFC 15-11-0 (1 NC) vs. 7-6-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
15-11-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
7-6-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
37
AgeΔ 5 yrs
42
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'9"
70"
ReachΔ 1"
69"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5.1
Layoff (months)Δ 39.1 mo
44.2
WWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Drew Dober carries real power — 0.68 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Drew Dober rarely shoots — 0.61 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Scott Holtzman owns the mat — in control 30% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Drew Dober

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1611
Tier 3 — regional circuit 134

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Scott Holtzman

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 76
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.05 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9944.48/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
7234.32/min · norm 3.42
9604.33/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
6123.66/min · norm 3.37
41.0%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
47.8%norm 43.5%
53.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
55.0%norm 56.3%
100.68/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
40.36/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Drew Dober

Distance 87.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 8.0%)

Scott Holtzman

Distance 76.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 13.6% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Drew Dober

Head 79.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 7.9%)

Scott Holtzman

Head 80.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Dober L/AAccLightweight med Holtzman L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 790 / 2128 37.1% 37.9% 461 / 1148 40.2% 37.9%
In the clinch 111 / 170 65.3% 67.3% 115 / 157 73.2% 67.3%
On the ground 93 / 125 74.4% 69.1% 147 / 206 71.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 628 / 1922 32.7% 35.0% 528 / 1223 43.2% 35.0%
To the body 225 / 326 69.0% 69.1% 117 / 183 63.9% 69.1%
To the legs 141 / 175 80.6% 81.9% 78 / 105 74.3% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Dober L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Holtzman L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 771 / 1793 43.0% 38.9% 453 / 1136 39.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 87 / 121 71.9% 68.6% 122 / 169 72.2% 68.6%
On the ground 102 / 132 77.3% 68.0% 37 / 56 66.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 681 / 1668 40.8% 35.1% 382 / 1079 35.4% 35.1%
To the body 197 / 279 70.6% 68.1% 137 / 181 75.7% 68.1%
To the legs 82 / 99 82.8% 81.5% 93 / 101 92.1% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
917.0% acc · 0.61/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2156.8% acc · 1.88/15 · norm 1.38
3958.2% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
6267.4% def · norm 64.0%
29:1913.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
50:4630.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
49:013:18 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
32:332:55 per 15 · norm 2:46
10.07/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
20.18/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dober has more cage time on record.