Drew Dober vs. Olivier Aubin-Mercier

UFC 15-11-0 (1 NC) vs. 7-5-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
15-11-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
7-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
37
AgeΔ 0 yrs
37
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'9"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5.1
Layoff (months)Δ 79.3 mo
84.4
WWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Drew Dober carries real power — 0.68 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Olivier Aubin-Mercier hunts takedowns — 2.36 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Drew Dober rarely shoots — 0.61 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Drew Dober

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1611
Tier 3 — regional circuit 134

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Olivier Aubin-Mercier

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 175
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.75 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9944.48/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3632.48/min · norm 3.42
9604.33/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
4342.97/min · norm 3.37
41.0%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
51.5%norm 43.5%
53.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
55.8%norm 56.3%
100.68/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.21/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Drew Dober

Distance 87.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 8.0%)

Olivier Aubin-Mercier

Distance 82.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 9.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Drew Dober

Head 79.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 7.9%)

Olivier Aubin-Mercier

Head 79.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.8% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Dober L/AAccLightweight med Aubin-Mercier L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 790 / 2128 37.1% 37.9% 262 / 581 45.1% 37.9%
In the clinch 111 / 170 65.3% 67.3% 57 / 68 83.8% 67.3%
On the ground 93 / 125 74.4% 69.1% 44 / 56 78.6% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 628 / 1922 32.7% 35.0% 248 / 557 44.5% 35.0%
To the body 225 / 326 69.0% 69.1% 78 / 107 72.9% 69.1%
To the legs 141 / 175 80.6% 81.9% 37 / 41 90.2% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Dober L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Aubin-Mercier L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 771 / 1793 43.0% 38.9% 261 / 748 34.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 87 / 121 71.9% 68.6% 54 / 86 62.8% 68.6%
On the ground 102 / 132 77.3% 68.0% 119 / 149 79.9% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 681 / 1668 40.8% 35.1% 274 / 757 36.2% 35.1%
To the body 197 / 279 70.6% 68.1% 98 / 148 66.2% 68.1%
To the legs 82 / 99 82.8% 81.5% 62 / 78 79.5% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
917.0% acc · 0.61/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2333.8% acc · 2.36/15 · norm 1.38
3958.2% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2470.6% def · norm 64.0%
29:1913.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
43:3129.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
49:013:18 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
34:043:29 per 15 · norm 2:46
10.07/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
50.51/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dober has more cage time on record.