Drew Dober vs. Joshua Burkman

UFC 15-11-0 (1 NC) vs. 6-12-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
15-11-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
6-12-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
37
AgeΔ 9 yrs
46
5'8"
HeightΔ 2"
5'10"
70"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5.1
Layoff (months)Δ 96.5 mo
101.6
WWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Drew Dober carries real power — 0.68 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Joshua Burkman hunts takedowns — 2.53 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Drew Dober rarely shoots — 0.61 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Drew Dober

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1611
Tier 3 — regional circuit 134

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Joshua Burkman

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 612
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 225

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.41 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 47 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9944.48/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
5432.69/min · norm 3.17
9604.33/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
6323.13/min · norm 3.06
41.0%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
43.6%norm 44.9%
53.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
51.9%norm 55.25%
100.68/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.15/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Drew Dober

Distance 87.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 8.0%)

Joshua Burkman

Distance 78.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 15.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Drew Dober

Head 79.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 7.9%)

Joshua Burkman

Head 69.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 19.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Dober L/AAccLightweight med Burkman L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 790 / 2128 37.1% 37.9% 364 / 977 37.3% 38.6%
In the clinch 111 / 170 65.3% 67.3% 125 / 193 64.8% 67.8%
On the ground 93 / 125 74.4% 69.1% 54 / 75 72.0% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 628 / 1922 32.7% 35.0% 259 / 863 30.0% 37.2%
To the body 225 / 326 69.0% 69.1% 91 / 146 62.3% 70.7%
To the legs 141 / 175 80.6% 81.9% 193 / 236 81.8% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Dober L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Burkman L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 771 / 1793 43.0% 38.9% 402 / 996 40.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 87 / 121 71.9% 68.6% 160 / 232 69.0% 68.9%
On the ground 102 / 132 77.3% 68.0% 70 / 87 80.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 681 / 1668 40.8% 35.1% 396 / 1002 39.5% 35.6%
To the body 197 / 279 70.6% 68.1% 130 / 184 70.7% 69.6%
To the legs 82 / 99 82.8% 81.5% 106 / 129 82.2% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
917.0% acc · 0.61/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
3437.0% acc · 2.53/15 · norm 1.27
3958.2% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
3772.5% def · norm 63.9%
29:1913.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
51:0125.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
49:013:18 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
34:232:33 per 15 · norm 3:15
10.07/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
40.30/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dober has more cage time on record.