Donald Cerrone vs. Nate Diaz

UFC 23-14-0 (1 NC) vs. 16-11-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
23-14-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
16-11-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
43
AgeΔ 2 yrs
41
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'0"
73"
ReachΔ 3"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
49.2
Layoff (months)Δ 2.3 mo
46.9
LLNCLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Donald Cerrone carries real power — 0.84 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Nate Diaz is a submission threat — 1.16 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Donald Cerrone absorbs 5.11 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Donald Cerrone

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 2314
Tier 3 — regional circuit 133

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.09 · 23 tier-1/2 wins · 27 finish wins over 55 documented bouts

In the UFC: 20-13 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Nate Diaz

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1611
Tier 3 — regional circuit 53

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 35 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

17484.90/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
15444.58/min · norm 3.42
18255.11/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
13484.00/min · norm 3.37
47.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
44.6%norm 43.5%
51.6%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
52.9%norm 56.3%
200.84/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
40.18/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Donald Cerrone

Distance 89.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.2% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 8.0%)

Nate Diaz

Distance 83.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 13.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Donald Cerrone

Head 71.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.8% (norm 7.9%)

Nate Diaz

Head 83.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.1% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cerrone L/AAccLightweight med Diaz L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1478 / 3290 44.9% 37.9% 1132 / 2883 39.3% 37.9%
In the clinch 151 / 229 65.9% 67.3% 342 / 477 71.7% 67.3%
On the ground 119 / 172 69.2% 69.1% 70 / 104 67.3% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 893 / 2630 34.0% 35.0% 1146 / 2891 39.6% 35.0%
To the body 442 / 589 75.0% 69.1% 263 / 397 66.2% 69.1%
To the legs 413 / 472 87.5% 81.9% 135 / 176 76.7% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cerrone L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Diaz L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1558 / 3375 46.2% 38.9% 874 / 2115 41.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 211 / 305 69.2% 68.6% 217 / 324 67.0% 68.6%
On the ground 56 / 88 63.6% 68.0% 257 / 420 61.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 1069 / 2721 39.3% 35.1% 772 / 2096 36.8% 35.1%
To the body 444 / 668 66.5% 68.1% 246 / 365 67.4% 68.1%
To the legs 312 / 379 82.3% 81.5% 330 / 398 82.9% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2428.9% acc · 1.01/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1826.5% acc · 0.80/15 · norm 1.38
6288.6% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
4343.9% def · norm 64.0%
38:3610.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
47:1814.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
19:550:50 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
97:414:20 per 15 · norm 2:46
110.46/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
261.16/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cerrone has more cage time on record.