Curtis Millender vs. Belal Muhammad

UFC 3-2-0 vs. 15-6-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
3-2-0
UFC record
15-6-0 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
38
AgeΔ 0 yrs
38
6'2"
HeightΔ 3"
5'11"
76"
ReachΔ 4"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
87.8
Layoff (months)Δ 85.7 mo
2.1
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Curtis Millender rarely shoots — 0.26 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Belal Muhammad hunts takedowns — 1.98 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Curtis Millender carries real power — 0.53 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Curtis Millender

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 67
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 136

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.41 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Belal Muhammad

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 176
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.39 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.5 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2223.90/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
15154.36/min · norm 3.17
1702.99/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
13623.92/min · norm 3.06
48.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
42.4%norm 44.9%
61.5%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
55.2%norm 55.25%
20.53/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Curtis Millender

Distance 95.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 2.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 1.7% (norm 8.1%)

Belal Muhammad

Distance 91.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Curtis Millender

Head 71.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 16.2% (norm 8.4%)

Belal Muhammad

Head 86.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Millender L/AAccWelterweight med Muhammad L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 207 / 441 46.9% 38.6% 1324 / 3270 40.5% 38.6%
In the clinch 10 / 13 too few to rate 67.8% 72 / 124 58.1% 67.8%
On the ground 5 / 8 too few to rate 67.2% 119 / 178 66.9% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 132 / 330 40.0% 37.2% 1166 / 3095 37.7% 37.2%
To the body 32 / 57 56.1% 70.7% 219 / 324 67.6% 70.7%
To the legs 58 / 75 77.3% 82.9% 130 / 153 85.0% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Millender L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Muhammad L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 132 / 377 35.0% 39.0% 1257 / 2896 43.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 3 / 9 too few to rate 68.9% 68 / 86 79.1% 68.9%
On the ground 35 / 56 62.5% 68.0% 37 / 57 64.9% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 104 / 338 30.8% 35.6% 780 / 2308 33.8% 35.6%
To the body 19 / 39 48.7% 69.6% 245 / 350 70.0% 69.6%
To the legs 47 / 65 72.3% 82.1% 337 / 381 88.5% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1100.0% acc · 0.26/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
4635.9% acc · 1.98/15 · norm 1.27
952.9% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
4890.6% def · norm 63.9%
0:521.5% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
76:1821.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
18:104:47 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
18:530:48 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
30.13/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Muhammad has more cage time on record.