Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Gregory Rodrigues

UFC 8-2-0 vs. 10-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
8-2-0
UFC record
10-3-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
31
AgeΔ 3 yrs
34
6'2"
HeightΔ 1"
6'3"
79"
ReachΔ 4"
75"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
0.7
Layoff (months)Δ 4.4 mo
5.1
WWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Gregory Rodrigues carries real power — 1.03 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Gregory Rodrigues outworks the Middleweight division — 5.52 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.25 norm.
Christian Leroy Duncan rarely shoots — 0.43 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Christian Leroy Duncan

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 82
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.05 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Gregory Rodrigues

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 104
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 62

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.35 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4694.45/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
6425.52/min · norm 3.25
2492.36/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
5494.72/min · norm 3.20
58.0%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
51.5%norm 47.4%
54.1%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
50.9%norm 53.8%
30.43/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
81.03/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Christian Leroy Duncan

Distance 80.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 14.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 10.3%)

Gregory Rodrigues

Distance 87.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 7.5% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Christian Leroy Duncan

Head 63.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 14.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 22.4% (norm 8.4%)

Gregory Rodrigues

Head 83.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Duncan L/AAccMiddleweight med Rodrigues L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 347 / 648 53.5% 40.5% 539 / 1094 49.3% 40.5%
In the clinch 91 / 119 76.5% 70.3% 66 / 94 70.2% 70.3%
On the ground 31 / 42 73.8% 69.1% 37 / 59 62.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 232 / 512 45.3% 38.9% 473 / 1038 45.6% 38.9%
To the body 79 / 116 68.1% 71.7% 137 / 169 81.1% 71.7%
To the legs 158 / 181 87.3% 83.3% 32 / 40 80.0% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Duncan L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Rodrigues L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 194 / 462 42.0% 39.5% 473 / 1010 46.8% 39.5%
In the clinch 47 / 70 67.1% 70.9% 66 / 90 73.3% 70.9%
On the ground 8 / 10 too few to rate 69.0% 10 / 17 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 132 / 388 34.0% 37.9% 321 / 836 38.4% 37.9%
To the body 52 / 73 71.2% 71.3% 120 / 162 74.1% 71.3%
To the legs 65 / 81 80.2% 82.1% 108 / 119 90.8% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
320.0% acc · 0.43/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1535.7% acc · 1.93/15 · norm 1.42
2257.9% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
975.0% def · norm 63.1%
21:2720.3% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
21:4418.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
31:434:30 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
8:051:02 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
30.39/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rodrigues has more cage time on record.