Che Mills vs. Rory MacDonald

UFC 2-1-0 (1 NC) vs. 9-4-0
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Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line

Che Mills

VS

Rory MacDonald

2-1-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
9-4-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
43
AgeΔ 6 yrs
37
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'0"
76"
ReachΔ 0"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
161.7
Layoff (months)Δ 40 mo
121.7
NCWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Che Mills carries real power — 1.18 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Opponents land 57% of their head shots on Che Mills, vs a 36% Welterweight norm — a hole in the guard.
Rory MacDonald hunts takedowns — 1.77 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Che Mills

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 32
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 23
Tier 3 — regional circuit 115

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.33 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Rory MacDonald

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1410
Tier 3 — regional circuit 90

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.15 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 34 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.3 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

532.08/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
6673.75/min · norm 3.17
732.87/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
4992.80/min · norm 3.06
52.5%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
42.5%norm 44.9%
43.4%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
62.5%norm 55.25%
21.18/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.08/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Che Mills

Distance 54.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 21.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 23.8% (norm 8.1%)

Rory MacDonald

Distance 83.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 6.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 10.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Che Mills

Head 72.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 18.8% (norm 8.4%)

Rory MacDonald

Head 82.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Mills L/AAccWelterweight med MacDonald L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 22 / 55 40.0% 38.6% 509 / 1317 38.6% 38.6%
In the clinch 16 / 22 too few to rate 67.8% 55 / 95 57.9% 67.8%
On the ground 15 / 24 too few to rate 67.2% 103 / 158 65.2% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 29 / 73 39.7% 37.2% 499 / 1302 38.3% 37.2%
To the body 6 / 9 too few to rate 70.7% 125 / 213 58.7% 70.7%
To the legs 18 / 19 too few to rate 82.9% 43 / 55 78.2% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Mills L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs MacDonald L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 12 / 42 28.6% 39.0% 370 / 1123 32.9% 39.0%
In the clinch 6 / 14 too few to rate 68.9% 59 / 105 56.2% 68.9%
On the ground 55 / 73 75.3% 68.0% 70 / 101 69.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 61 / 107 57.0% 35.6% 323 / 1073 30.1% 35.6%
To the body 5 / 8 too few to rate 69.6% 72 / 126 57.1% 69.6%
To the legs 7 / 14 too few to rate 82.1% 104 / 130 80.0% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
266.7% acc · 1.18/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2147.7% acc · 1.77/15 · norm 1.27
1058.8% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
4088.9% def · norm 63.9%
2:5911.7% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
28:5216.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
17:0810:05 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
20:471:45 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
50.42/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — MacDonald has more cage time on record.

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