Chance Rencountre vs. Ismail Naurdiev

UFC 2-2-0 vs. 4-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-2-0
UFC record
4-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
39
AgeΔ 10 yrs
29
6'2"
HeightΔ 4"
5'10"
75"
ReachΔ 1"
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
81.2
Layoff (months)Δ 72.7 mo
8.5
LWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Chance Rencountre's takedown defense leaks — 17% stopped, vs a 64% Welterweight norm.
Chance Rencountre is wasteful with head shots — only 11% land, vs a 37% Welterweight norm.
Ismail Naurdiev is hard to hit — absorbs 1.75 sig. strikes per minute, vs a 3.06 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Chance Rencountre

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 120

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Ismail Naurdiev

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 43
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 205

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.83 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

491.10/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3353.66/min · norm 3.17
1613.62/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1601.75/min · norm 3.06
20.5%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
52.8%norm 44.9%
49.4%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
64.9%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.16/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Chance Rencountre

Distance 95.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 2.9% (norm 8.1%)

Ismail Naurdiev

Distance 83.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 7.6% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Chance Rencountre

Head 75.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.0% (norm 8.4%)

Ismail Naurdiev

Head 68.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 12.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rencountre L/AAccWelterweight med Naurdiev L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 43 / 228 18.9% 38.6% 266 / 528 50.4% 38.6%
In the clinch 4 / 4 too few to rate 67.8% 36 / 58 62.1% 67.8%
On the ground 2 / 7 too few to rate 67.2% 33 / 48 68.8% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 20 / 181 11.0% 37.2% 183 / 433 42.3% 37.2%
To the body 19 / 46 41.3% 70.7% 88 / 121 72.7% 70.7%
To the legs 10 / 12 too few to rate 82.9% 64 / 80 80.0% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rencountre L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Naurdiev L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 139 / 291 47.8% 39.0% 127 / 401 31.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 15 / 20 too few to rate 68.9% 13 / 26 50.0% 68.9%
On the ground 7 / 7 too few to rate 68.0% 20 / 29 69.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 110 / 253 43.5% 35.6% 122 / 395 30.9% 35.6%
To the body 24 / 34 70.6% 69.6% 17 / 31 54.8% 69.6%
To the legs 27 / 31 87.1% 82.1% 21 / 30 70.0% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
426.7% acc · 1.35/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
940.9% acc · 1.48/15 · norm 1.27
116.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
3073.2% def · norm 63.9%
13:3730.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
17:3119.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
2:340:51 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
31:515:13 per 15 · norm 3:15
10.34/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
10.16/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Naurdiev has more cage time on record.