Caio Magalhaes vs. Josh Samman

UFC 4-3-0 vs. 3-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
4-3-0
UFC record
3-2-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
38
AgeΔ 0 yrs
38
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
6'3"
73"
ReachΔ 6"
79"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
118.9
Layoff (months)Δ 1.9 mo
120.8
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Caio Magalhaes is a submission threat — 1.58 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Josh Samman carries real power — 0.73 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Opponents land 64% of their head shots on Josh Samman, vs a 38% Middleweight norm — a hole in the guard.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Caio Magalhaes

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 3 — regional circuit 63

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.58 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Josh Samman

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 33
Tier 3 — regional circuit 91

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.0 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1292.27/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
862.08/min · norm 3.25
1582.78/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
1022.47/min · norm 3.20
40.2%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
52.8%norm 47.4%
56.4%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
34.6%norm 53.8%
20.53/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
20.73/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Caio Magalhaes

Distance 77.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 12.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 10.6% (norm 10.3%)

Josh Samman

Distance 47.2% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 38.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 14.7% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Caio Magalhaes

Head 67.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 15.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 16.8% (norm 8.4%)

Josh Samman

Head 56.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 33.1% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Magalhaes L/AAccMiddleweight med Samman L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 77 / 248 31.0% 40.5% 36 / 77 46.8% 40.5%
In the clinch 28 / 39 71.8% 70.3% 36 / 62 58.1% 70.3%
On the ground 24 / 34 70.6% 69.1% 14 / 24 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 72 / 217 33.2% 38.9% 34 / 92 37.0% 38.9%
To the body 30 / 50 60.0% 71.7% 35 / 54 64.8% 71.7%
To the legs 27 / 54 50.0% 83.3% 17 / 17 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Magalhaes L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Samman L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 90 / 266 33.8% 39.5% 13 / 38 34.2% 39.5%
In the clinch 37 / 46 80.4% 70.9% 14 / 18 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 31 / 50 62.0% 69.0% 75 / 100 75.0% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 91 / 269 33.8% 37.9% 84 / 132 63.6% 37.9%
To the body 32 / 49 65.3% 71.3% 17 / 22 too few to rate 71.3%
To the legs 35 / 44 79.5% 82.1% 1 / 2 too few to rate 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
415.4% acc · 1.05/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
333.3% acc · 1.09/15 · norm 1.42
758.3% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
333.3% def · norm 63.1%
14:5226.1% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
12:1229.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
10:592:53 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
21:247:46 per 15 · norm 3:00
61.58/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
10.36/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Magalhaes has more cage time on record.