Bryan Caraway vs. Aljamain Sterling

UFC 6-4-0 vs. 18-5-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
6-4-0
UFC record
18-5-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
42
AgeΔ 5 yrs
37
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
68"
ReachΔ 3"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
92.2
Layoff (months)Δ 88.8 mo
3.4
LLWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Bryan Caraway is a submission threat — 0.75 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Aljamain Sterling is a submission threat — 0.64 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Aljamain Sterling hunts takedowns — 2.54 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Bryan Caraway

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 64
Tier 3 — regional circuit 165

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.84 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Aljamain Sterling

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 185
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.61 · 18 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 16-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3092.59/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
14074.26/min · norm 3.52
4613.86/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
7102.15/min · norm 3.58
34.5%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
52.6%norm 43.4%
54.4%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
59.2%norm 56.6%
00.00/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Bryan Caraway

Distance 90.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 1.2% (norm 6.5%)

Aljamain Sterling

Distance 77.2% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 10.1% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 12.7% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Bryan Caraway

Head 90.1% (norm 77.4%) · Body 5.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 8.4%)

Aljamain Sterling

Head 64.0% (norm 77.4%) · Body 23.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Caraway L/AAccBantamweight med Sterling L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 269 / 808 33.3% 39.0% 941 / 2066 45.5% 39.0%
In the clinch 33 / 76 43.4% 68.7% 209 / 270 77.4% 68.7%
On the ground 7 / 11 too few to rate 70.2% 257 / 339 75.8% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 248 / 806 30.8% 34.9% 703 / 1712 41.1% 34.9%
To the body 32 / 52 61.5% 66.8% 443 / 622 71.2% 66.8%
To the legs 29 / 37 78.4% 79.4% 261 / 341 76.5% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Caraway L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Sterling L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 358 / 846 42.3% 39.3% 567 / 1534 37.0% 39.3%
In the clinch 86 / 139 61.9% 70.4% 92 / 134 68.7% 70.4%
On the ground 17 / 26 65.4% 72.4% 51 / 71 71.8% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 289 / 803 36.0% 34.9% 355 / 1230 28.9% 34.9%
To the body 100 / 128 78.1% 66.0% 190 / 302 62.9% 66.0%
To the legs 72 / 80 90.0% 79.1% 165 / 207 79.7% 79.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1921.3% acc · 2.38/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
5632.2% acc · 2.54/15 · norm 1.12
1676.2% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
2244.9% def · norm 66.7%
37:1031.1% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
109:3333.1% of cage time · norm 17.4%
10:581:22 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
56:062:32 per 15 · norm 2:24
60.75/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
140.64/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Sterling has more cage time on record.